Transparent Record

This is the public record. After each game we pull the box score and grade every tracked prop — wins, losses, and pushes are all listed. No cherry-picking. See the glossary for how we define edge.

View Insights

Showing: All Time · All Picks

Tracked Predictions

13,168

8,551 won · 4,617 lost

Hit Rate

64.9%

8,551 of 13,168 resolved

Avg Edge vs Market

0.5%

avg line difference vs consensus

Units P/L · ROI

+17117.75u(+130.0%)

1-unit flat per pick · pushes excluded

How we grade

Every tracked prop is graded from the official box score once the game is final.

Correct — actual stat finished on the predicted side of the line
Incorrect — actual stat finished on the opposite side
Push — actual stat exactly equals the line (excluded from win-rate math)
Needs review — we couldn't resolve the stat from official sources

Hit rate is correct / (correct + incorrect). Pushes are excluded.

NFL

Record

Record980–838

Hit Rate53.9%

ROI+956.1%

Units+17382.55

NHL

Record

Record2750–1404

Hit Rate66.2%

ROI+8.1%

Units+335.07

MLB

Record

Record4821–2375

Hit Rate67.0%

ROI-8.3%

Units-599.87

Record by Prop Type

Showing prop types with at least 25 resolved bets

See how different prop types have performed over time. Use this table to compare hit rate, volume, and results by market — smaller samples can swing more sharply, so larger tracked groups usually tell the clearer story.

Prop Type	Record	Hit Rate	Avg Implied	ROI	Units
MLB - batter hits	3453–1821(5274)	65.5%	70.9%	-7.5%	-397.50
NHL - player shots on goal	1067–811(1878)	56.8%	60.9%	-6.8%	-126.78
MLB - pitcher strikeouts	722–266(988)	73.1%	81.6%	-10.6%	-104.33
NHL - player power play points	853–28(881)	96.8%	89.4%	+9.1%	+80.23
NHL - player points	526–334(860)	61.2%	63.3%	-3.2%	-27.56
MLB - batter total bases	475–251(726)	65.4%	75.5%	-12.6%	-91.27
NFL - player receptions	352–221(573)	61.4%	63.8%	-4.4%	-25.20
NFL - player reception yds	216–193(409)	52.8%	53.6%	-1.3%	-5.19
NHL - player assists	144–115(259)	55.6%	64.4%	-15.0%	-38.83
NHL - player blocked shots	121–96(217)	55.8%	58.0%	-3.3%	-7.10
NFL - player rush yds	106–96(202)	52.5%	54.7%	-3.7%	-7.46
NFL - player pass yds	87–71(158)	55.1%	53.2%	+3.3%	+5.28
NFL - receptions	46–75(121)	38.0%	0.8%	+4708.3%	+5697.00
NFL - player pass tds	67–52(119)	56.3%	65.4%	-14.9%	-17.70
MLB - batter singles	52–13(65)	80.0%	82.7%	-4.7%	-3.08
MLB - batter runs scored	48–12(60)	80.0%	84.5%	-5.9%	-3.51
NFL - receiving yards	25–34(59)	42.4%	0.9%	+4478.0%	+2642.00
NFL - rushing attemptssmall sample	20–28(48)	41.7%	0.9%	+4641.7%!	+2228.00
NHL - player goalssmall sample	35–10(45)	77.8%	75.5%	+2.5%	+1.11
MLB - batter doublessmall sample	39–2(41)	95.1%	93.2%	+2.2%	+0.92
NFL - rushing yardssmall sample	11–21(32)	34.4%	0.9%	+3675.0%!	+1176.00

Rows marked “small sample” have between 25 and 49 resolved bets. Hit rate and ROI for these will fluctuate as we collect more data.

Status

Completed13,168

Pending

53(53 MLB)

Needs Review85

Manually Closed638

Total Tracked13,944

Source Tracking

Individual Props152

Saved Parlays161

Auto-Generated13630

Your Saved Picks313

“Saved Parlays” = legs from parlays you saved. “Auto-Generated” = system-tracked for accuracy analysis.

Recent Tracked Predictions

Brandon Nimmo· batter hitsPending

OVER 0.50

Win Prob: 64.5%Quality: 48.3parlay leg

Ezequiel Duran· batter total basesPending

UNDER 1.50

Win Prob: 65.7%Quality: 48.9parlay leg

Kumar Rocker· pitcher outsPending

OVER 14.50

Win Prob: 65.3%Quality: 52.7parlay leg

Ceddanne Rafaela· batter hitsPending

UNDER 1.50

Win Prob: 66.0%Quality: 49.0system generated

Dominic Canzone· batter total basesPending

UNDER 1.50