← Validation

Performance Insights

Learn what's working and improve your picks.

Overall Performance

65.0%
Overall Win Rate
Break-even: 52.4%
7282-3929
Record
11211 total props
Profitable
Above break-even
506
Actionable Insights
440 strengths · 58 improvements
NFL53.9%
Record980-838
ROI956.1%
Avg Edge+2.7%
NHL66.2%
Record2750-1404
ROI8.1%
Avg Edge+0.2%
MLB67.8%
Record3552-1687
ROI-8.6%
Avg Edge+0.2%

Actionable Insights

440 trust · 58 caution
Overall accuracy of 65.0% exceeds break-even rate (52.4%)
System is profitable! Continue current approach.
Prop Types
Lean Into18
player pass tds56.3%player shots on goal56.8%batter hits66.1%pitcher strikeouts73.1%batter total bases64.5%player pass yds55.1%player receptions61.4%player assists55.6%player points61.2%player power play points96.8%batter singles79.6%player blocked shots55.8%batter doubles94.7%player goals77.8%batter runs scored79.3%pitcher outs87.5%batter stolen bases100.0%pass attempts62.5%
Fade6
kicking points42.9%receptions38.0%rushing attempts41.7%receiving yards42.4%rushing yards34.4%points16.7%
Players 473
Yordan Alvarez55/75
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.48/68
Bobby Witt Jr.53/66
Mitch Marner45/64
Freddie Freeman44/57
Xavier Edwards42/57
Ketel Marte39/56
Shea Langeliers40/56
Aaron Judge35/52
Gunnar Henderson37/51
Luis Arraez38/50
Fernando Tatis Jr.33/47
Trea Turner35/47
Alec Burleson32/44
Ronald Acuna Jr.30/43
Drake Baldwin30/42
Corbin Carroll31/42
Junior Caminero36/42
Maikel Garcia29/41
Michael Harris II27/39
Kevin McGonigle25/35
Quinn Hughes29/35
Alec Bohm24/33
Bryan Reynolds25/33
Jung Hoo Lee24/33
Andy Pages25/32
Mookie Betts23/32
Martin Necas21/31
Ivan Herrera22/31
Jose Ramirez23/31
Ernie Clement22/31
Josh Jung24/28
Alex Bregman21/28
Josh Naylor20/28
Pete Crow-Armstrong23/28
Brock Faber22/28

Best Performing Prop Types

batter stolen bases100.0%
Total: 16
Correct: 16
Edge: +0.0%
player power play points96.8%
Total: 881
Correct: 853
Edge: +0.1%
batter doubles94.7%
Total: 38
Correct: 36
Edge: +0.0%
pitcher outs87.5%
Total: 8
Correct: 7
Edge: +0.0%
batter singles79.6%
Total: 54
Correct: 43
Edge: +0.0%

Struggling Prop Types

points16.7%
Total: 6
Correct: 1
Edge: +14.5%
assists25.0%
Total: 4
Correct: 1
Edge: +20.0%
rushing yards34.4%
Total: 32
Correct: 11
Edge: +5.9%
receptions38.0%
Total: 121
Correct: 46
Edge: +15.1%
rushing attempts41.7%
Total: 48
Correct: 20
Edge: +7.8%

How to Use These Insights

  • Prioritize prop types with high accuracy in your parlays
  • Avoid or reduce prop types with low accuracy
  • Track players you predict well and focus on them
  • Adjust confidence based on historical performance
  • Review regularly as more data becomes available