Win Probability
The market-implied chance the bet wins, derived from stripping the vig from the consensus line. This is what the collective market thinks, not a proprietary model.
Win probability here is the market's number, not a secret model. We take the consensus line, strip the vig, and show the implied chance that side wins. It is what the collective books are pricing — averaged and de-vigged.
It will not match any one book's posted implied probability, because those still include juice. It is also not our "true" projection of whether the player goes over. If you want a proprietary forecast, this is not that page.
Read it as market context next to edge: win probability is the consensus chance; edge is how far one book sits from that consensus.