Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT

MLB

Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres

WSH @ SD

Scheduled

Moneyline

WSH

37%

63%

+159-189

ML Edge

WSH+25.0%

SD-25.0%

Total (O/U)

8.0

MyBookie.ag

Over+6.9%

Under-6.9%

Venue

Park Factor

0.95

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Washington Nationals (WSH)

Pitcher:Jackson Kent(RHP)

Record:1-3

ERA:5.55

Home Starter

Team:San Diego Padres (SD)

Pitcher:Walker Buehler(RHP)

Record:8-6

ERA:4.56

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

WSH ML has a 25.0% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 6.9% edge.

Top prop: Jackson Merrill OVER 0.5 batter hits (67% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Jackson Kent (5.55 ERA) vs Walker Buehler (4.56 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 45

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Jackson Merrill	OVER hits	0.5	-227	67%	53.4
Manny Machado	OVER hits	0.5	-227	66%	53.2
Ty France	OVER hits	0.5	-227	66%	53.2
Jake Cronenworth	UNDER total bases	1.5	-238	66%	49.1
Luis Campusano	UNDER total bases	1.5	-233	66%	48.9
Xander Bogaerts	OVER hits	0.5	-192	63%	47.5
Jake Cronenworth	OVER hits	0.5	-182	63%	47.5
James Wood	OVER hits	0.5	-179	62%	46.8
Luis Campusano	OVER hits	0.5	-172	61%	46.7
Dylan Crews	OVER hits	0.5	-172	60%	45.9
Ty France	UNDER total bases	1.5	-169	60%	45.9
Daylen Lile	OVER hits	0.5	-167	60%	45.9
James Wood	UNDER total bases	1.5	-159	59%	45.4
Brady House	OVER hits	0.5	-154	59%	45.3
Manny Machado	UNDER total bases	1.5	-161	58%	45.2

Pitching Props 5

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Casey Mize	OVER outs	15.5	-118	53%	42.4
Casey Mize	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-112	51%	41.3
Casey Mize	OVER strikeouts	4.5	-103	49%	40.7
Casey Mize	UNDER outs	16.5	-125	51%	37.5
Casey Mize	UNDER outs	15.5	+102	47%	35.4

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

WSH

46.8%53.2%

Jackson Kent (WSH)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	5.55	1.70	7.8	7.1	.237	24.1
Home	3.27	1.36	7.4	7.4	.162	11.0
Away	7.43	1.98	8.2	6.9	.286	13.1
Last 7 Days	5.40	1.60	7.2	7.2	.200	5.0
Last 30 Days	5.55	1.70	7.8	7.1	.237	24.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.250	.308	.333	.641	24	7
vs RHB	.232	.384	.348	.732	69	14

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.189	.333	.324	.658	37	10
2nd Time	.237	.356	.342	.698	38	8
3rd Time	.333	.455	.389	.843	18	3

Walker Buehler (SD)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	4.56	1.34	7.7	3.4	.255	136.1
Home	4.00	1.24	6.8	3.2	.243	74.1
Away	5.23	1.47	8.9	3.6	.268	62.0
Last 7 Days	1.80	1.00	10.8	3.6	.200	5.0
Last 30 Days	2.57	0.89	7.1	1.9	.200	28.0

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.275	.351	.416	.767	291	68
vs RHB	.229	.296	.410	.706	227	49

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.247	.323	.388	.710	227	58
2nd Time	.252	.321	.422	.743	218	45
3rd Time	.288	.358	.466	.824	73	14

Last 5 Games

SD: L W L W W

WSH: L L L L L

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

SD leads series 1-0

Season (6 games)

Series tied 2-2

Weather

91°F

Condition: 2

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
MyBookie.ag	+159	-189	12:31 PM
BetUS	+161	-182	12:31 PM
BetOnline.ag	+165	-182	12:31 PM
LowVig.ag	+165	-182	12:31 PM
BetMGM	+154	-189	12:31 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
MyBookie.ag	8.0	-118	-104	12:31 PM
BetUS	8.0	-115	-105	12:31 PM
BetOnline.ag	8.0	-115	-105	12:31 PM
LowVig.ag	8.0	-114	-102	12:31 PM
BetMGM	8.0	-118	-102	12:31 PM