Thursday, April 16, 2026 at 12:35 PM EDT

Washington Nationals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

WSH @ PIT

Scheduled

Moneyline

WSH

41%

59%

PIT

+135-164

ML Edge

WSH+11.3%

PIT-11.3%

Total (O/U)

9.0

Fanatics

Over-4.9%

Under+4.9%

Venue

Park Factor

1.00

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Washington Nationals (WSH)

Pitcher:Foster Griffin(RHP)

Record:2-0

ERA:1.76

Home Starter

Team:Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT)

Pitcher:Braxton Ashcraft(RHP)

Record:1-1

ERA:2.12

💡 Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

💰

WSH ML has a 11.3% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

📊

The Under has a 4.9% edge.

🎯

Top prop: Brandon Lowe OVER 0.5 batter hits (71% win prob).

⚾

Pitching matchup: Foster Griffin (1.76 ERA) vs Braxton Ashcraft (2.12 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

⚾ Batting Props (47)

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Brandon Lowe	OVER hits	0.5	-233	71%	58.5
Bryan Reynolds	OVER hits	0.5	-233	71%	58.4
Nasim Nunez	OVER stolen bases	0.5	+417	23%	57.4
Oneil Cruz	OVER hits	0.5	-250	71%	55.5
CJ Abrams	OVER stolen bases	0.5	+575	18%	55.1
Oneil Cruz	OVER total bases	0.5	-417	77%	54.5
Bryan Reynolds	UNDER hits	1.5	-270	69%	54.3
Brandon Lowe	OVER total bases	0.5	-400	76%	54.2
Nick Yorke	UNDER hits	1.5	-263	68%	54.2
Nick Yorke	OVER hits	0.5	-222	68%	54.1
Luis Garcia Jr.	UNDER hits	1.5	-263	68%	54.1
Oneil Cruz	UNDER hits	1.5	-250	67%	53.7
Brandon Lowe	UNDER hits	1.5	-222	65%	52.6
Bryan Reynolds	OVER total bases	0.5	-323	73%	52.5
Brandon Lowe	OVER doubles	0.5	+340	26%	51.9

🎯 Pitching Props (3)

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Jake Irvin	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-417	75%	53.7
Jake Irvin	OVER strikeouts	2.5	-417	75%	53.7
Jake Irvin	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-156	59%	45.5

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

WSH

PIT

35.1%64.9%

Foster Griffin (WSH)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	2.70	1.30	9.9	2.7	.256	10.0
Home	1.80	1.60	10.8	5.4	.263	5.0
Away	3.60	1.00	9.0	0.0	.250	5.0
Last 7 Days	1.80	1.60	10.8	5.4	.263	5.0
Last 30 Days	2.70	1.30	9.9	2.7	.256	10.0

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.200	.250	.467	.717	15	4
vs RHB	.292	.370	.458	.829	24	7

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.125	.222	.125	.347	16	5
2nd Time	.333	.333	.667	1.000	18	6
3rd Time	.400	.571	.800	1.371	5	0

Braxton Ashcraft (PIT)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	2.25	1.00	8.3	3.0	.195	12.0
Home	1.50	0.67	12.0	0.0	.190	6.0
Away	3.00	1.33	4.5	6.0	.200	6.0
Last 7 Days	1.50	0.67	12.0	0.0	.190	6.0
Last 30 Days	2.25	1.00	8.3	3.0	.195	12.0

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.188	.278	.313	.590	16	6
vs RHB	.200	.250	.280	.530	25	5

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.118	.167	.118	.284	17	7
2nd Time	.375	.389	.625	1.014	16	2
3rd Time	.000	.200	.000	.200	8	2

Last 5 Games

PIT: W L W L W

WSH: W W L W L

Season Series

This Series (4 games)

PIT leads series 2-1

Weather

80°F

Condition: 4

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
Fanatics	+135	-164	6:32 PM
LowVig.ag	+138	-152	6:32 PM
BetOnline.ag	+138	-152	6:32 PM
FanDuel	+140	-167	6:32 PM
BetUS	+155	-175	6:32 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
Fanatics	9.0	-115	-105	6:32 PM
LowVig.ag	9.0	-108	-108	6:32 PM
BetOnline.ag	9.0	-110	-110	6:32 PM
FanDuel	8.5	+100	-122	6:32 PM
BetUS	9.5	-120	+100	6:32 PM