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Thursday, April 16, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT

Toronto Blue Jays @ Milwaukee Brewers

TOR @ MIL

Scheduled

Moneyline

TOR
48%
52%
MIL
+102-112

ML Edge

TOR-4.9%
MIL+4.9%

Total (O/U)

8.5

BetOnline.ag

Over+18.6%
Under-18.6%

Venue

Park Factor

1.00

Neutral

Away Starter

Patrick Corbin
Team:Toronto Blue Jays (TOR)
Pitcher:Patrick Corbin(RHP)
Record:0-0
ERA:9.00

Home Starter

Brandon Sproat
Team:Milwaukee Brewers (MIL)
Pitcher:Brandon Sproat(RHP)
Record:0-1
ERA:10.45

💡 Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

💰

MIL ML has a 4.9% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

📊

The Under has a 18.6% edge.

🎯

Top prop: Chad Patrick OVER 2.5 pitcher strikeouts (77% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Patrick Corbin (9.00 ERA) vs Brandon Sproat (10.45 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

⚾ Batting Props (42)

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Garrett MitchellOVER stolen bases0.5+64016%54.0
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.UNDER hits1.5-25067%53.7
Garrett MitchellOVER doubles0.5+70015%53.4
Brandon LockridgeOVER stolen bases0.5+58017%53.3
Ernie ClementUNDER hits1.5-23366%53.2
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.OVER hits0.5-28672%51.9
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.OVER total bases0.5-30372%51.9
Ernie ClementOVER hits0.5-27872%51.9
Ernie ClementOVER total bases0.5-28671%51.4
Nathan LukesOVER doubles0.5+57517%51.3
Andres GimenezOVER doubles0.5+57517%51.2
Ernie ClementOVER doubles0.5+44021%49.3
Eloy JimenezOVER total bases0.5-22766%49.2
Brice TurangOVER total bases1.5+18038%49.1
Sal FrelickOVER stolen bases0.5+70014%49.0

🎯 Pitching Props (8)

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Chad PatrickOVER strikeouts2.5-50077%54.7
Chad PatrickUNDER strikeouts5.5-38574%53.2
Dylan CeaseUNDER strikeouts8.5-35773%52.5
Dylan CeaseOVER strikeouts5.5-31271%51.4
Chad PatrickOVER outs14.5-16160%46.0
Chad PatrickUNDER strikeouts4.5-14358%44.9
Dylan CeaseOVER strikeouts6.5-14756%44.2
Dylan CeaseUNDER outs17.5-14556%43.8

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

TOR
MIL
37.2%62.8%

Patrick Corbin (TOR)

2026 season
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall9.001.756.82.3.3534.0
Home9.001.756.82.3.3534.0
Last 7 Days9.001.756.82.3.3534.0
Last 30 Days9.001.756.82.3.3534.0
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.000.000.000.00032
vs RHB.429.529.9291.458141
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.500.6251.0001.62561
2nd Time.250.333.625.95881
3rd Time.333.333.6671.00031

Brandon Sproat (MIL)

2026 season
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall10.452.388.98.9.35910.1
Home10.802.748.710.2.3856.2
Away9.822.1911.38.4.3083.2
Last 7 Days2.452.198.48.4.3333.2
Last 30 Days10.452.388.98.9.35910.1
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.421.593.7891.382194
vs RHB.300.364.600.964206
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.235.500.412.912175
2nd Time.455.478.9091.387225
3rd Time.000.000.000.00000

Last 5 Games

MIL: L L L L L
TOR: W W L L W

Season Series

This Series (3 games)
TOR leads series 1-0

Weather

58°F
Condition: 7

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

BookAwayHomeTime
BetOnline.ag+102-1126:32 PM
Fanatics-105-1156:32 PM
LowVig.ag+102-1126:32 PM
FanDuel+106-1236:32 PM
BetUS-125+1146:32 PM

Totals

BookTotalOverUnderTime
BetOnline.ag8.5-105-1156:32 PM
Fanatics8.5-105-1156:32 PM
LowVig.ag8.5-102-1146:32 PM
FanDuel8.5-105-1156:32 PM
BetUS7.5-110-1106:32 PM