Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT

MLB

Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals

TOR @ KC

Scheduled

Moneyline

TOR

50%

-110-110

ML Edge

TOR-1.9%

KC+1.9%

Total (O/U)

9.5

Fanatics

Over-17.1%

Under+17.1%

Venue

Park Factor

1.00

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Toronto Blue Jays (TOR)

Pitcher:Spencer Arrighetti(RHP)

Record:7-8

ERA:4.82

Home Starter

Team:Kansas City Royals (KC)

Pitcher:Randy Dobnak(RHP)

Record:2-3

ERA:2.65

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

The Under has a 17.1% edge.

Top prop: George Springer UNDER 1.5 batter hits (68% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (4.82 ERA) vs Randy Dobnak (2.65 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 45

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
George Springer	UNDER hits	1.5	-250	68%	53.8
Jac Caglianone	UNDER hits	1.5	-244	67%	53.7
Bobby Witt Jr.	UNDER hits	1.5	-238	67%	53.4
Nathan Lukes	OVER hits	0.5	-227	67%	53.3
Carter Jensen	OVER hits	0.5	-227	66%	52.9
Vinnie Pasquantino	OVER hits	0.5	-222	65%	52.7
Brett Bateman	OVER hits	0.5	-278	68%	50.0
Ernie Clement	OVER hits	0.5	-278	68%	50.0
Brett Bateman	UNDER hits	1.5	-256	68%	49.9
Kyle Isbel	UNDER total bases	1.5	-250	67%	49.6
Ernie Clement	UNDER hits	1.5	-238	67%	49.3
Isaac Collins	UNDER total bases	1.5	-227	65%	48.7
Salvador Perez	OVER hits	0.5	-208	65%	48.4
Alejandro Kirk	UNDER hits	1.5	-208	65%	48.3
Kazuma Okamoto	OVER hits	0.5	-208	64%	47.9

Pitching Props 5

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Seth Lugo	UNDER strikeouts	3.5	-141	57%	44.4
Max Scherzer	OVER outs	15.5	-118	53%	42.3
Seth Lugo	OVER outs	17.5	-120	52%	42.2
Max Scherzer	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-115	52%	42.0
Seth Lugo	UNDER walks	1.5	-169	59%	41.6

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

TOR

37.5%62.5%

Spencer Arrighetti (TOR)

2026 season

vs KC

ERA

6.30

10.0

W-L

0-2

WHIP

1.60

AVG

.302

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	4.82	1.34	8.8	5.0	.217	99.0
Home	3.38	0.98	9.6	3.4	.170	45.1
Away	6.04	1.67	8.3	6.4	.254	53.2
Last 7 Days	4.91	0.94	5.6	2.8	.154	3.2
Last 30 Days	6.55	1.36	8.2	4.1	.233	11.0

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.228	.381	.422	.803	206	57
vs RHB	.201	.277	.305	.583	154	40

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.206	.315	.335	.650	155	46
2nd Time	.242	.374	.417	.791	132	32
3rd Time	.192	.326	.370	.696	73	19

Randy Dobnak (KC)

2026 season

vs TOR

ERA

4.50

6.0

W-L

0-1

WHIP

1.17

AVG

.250

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	2.65	1.40	6.3	3.6	.258	57.2
Home	4.45	1.81	6.4	4.8	.313	28.1
Away	0.92	1.00	6.2	2.5	.198	29.1
Last 7 Days	9.00	1.50	9.0	3.0	.292	6.0
Last 30 Days	4.39	1.64	8.6	3.4	.306	26.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.269	.310	.410	.721	134	21
vs RHB	.241	.347	.322	.668	87	19

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.264	.337	.368	.705	87	21
2nd Time	.280	.313	.409	.722	93	12
3rd Time	.195	.327	.317	.644	41	7

Last 5 Games

KC: L L L W L

TOR: W L W W W

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

TOR leads series 1-0

Season (6 games)

Series tied 2-2

Weather

93°F

Condition: 2

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
Fanatics	-110	-110	12:29 PM
BetRivers	-118	-103	12:29 PM
BetUS	-101	-109	12:29 PM
BetMGM	-105	-115	12:29 PM
DraftKings	-105	-114	12:29 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
Fanatics	9.5	-110	-110	12:29 PM
BetRivers	9.5	-110	-110	12:29 PM
BetUS	9.5	-105	-115	12:29 PM
BetMGM	9.5	-110	-110	12:29 PM
DraftKings	9.5	-108	-112	12:29 PM