Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT

MLB

Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals

TOR @ KC

Scheduled

Moneyline

TOR

50%

-110-110

ML Edge

TOR-1.9%

KC+1.9%

Total (O/U)

9.5

Fanatics

Over-17.1%

Under+17.1%

Venue

Park Factor

1.00

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Toronto Blue Jays (TOR)

Pitcher:Max Scherzer(RHP)

Record:2-7

ERA:6.16

Home Starter

Team:Kansas City Royals (KC)

Pitcher:Seth Lugo(RHP)

Record:6-8

ERA:5.03

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

The Under has a 17.1% edge.

Top prop: George Springer UNDER 1.5 batter hits (68% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Max Scherzer (6.16 ERA) vs Seth Lugo (5.03 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 45

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
George Springer	UNDER hits	1.5	-250	68%	53.8
Jac Caglianone	UNDER hits	1.5	-244	67%	53.7
Bobby Witt Jr.	UNDER hits	1.5	-238	67%	53.4
Nathan Lukes	OVER hits	0.5	-227	67%	53.3
Carter Jensen	OVER hits	0.5	-227	66%	52.9
Vinnie Pasquantino	OVER hits	0.5	-222	65%	52.7
Brett Bateman	OVER hits	0.5	-278	68%	50.0
Ernie Clement	OVER hits	0.5	-278	68%	50.0
Brett Bateman	UNDER hits	1.5	-256	68%	49.9
Kyle Isbel	UNDER total bases	1.5	-250	67%	49.6
Ernie Clement	UNDER hits	1.5	-238	67%	49.3
Isaac Collins	UNDER total bases	1.5	-227	65%	48.7
Salvador Perez	OVER hits	0.5	-208	65%	48.4
Alejandro Kirk	UNDER hits	1.5	-208	65%	48.3
Kazuma Okamoto	OVER hits	0.5	-208	64%	47.9

Pitching Props 5

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Seth Lugo	UNDER strikeouts	3.5	-141	57%	44.4
Max Scherzer	OVER outs	15.5	-118	53%	42.3
Seth Lugo	OVER outs	17.5	-120	52%	42.2
Max Scherzer	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-115	52%	42.0
Seth Lugo	UNDER walks	1.5	-169	59%	41.6

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

TOR

42.5%57.5%

Max Scherzer (TOR)

2026 season

vs KC

ERA

3.60

5.0

W-L

0-1

WHIP

1.80

AVG

.222

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	6.16	1.39	7.3	4.1	.242	57.0
Home	6.23	1.36	8.3	4.4	.230	39.0
Away	6.00	1.44	5.0	3.5	.268	18.0
Last 7 Days	0.00	0.29	12.9	1.3	.045	7.0
Last 30 Days	4.10	1.11	7.9	3.8	.188	26.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.268	.363	.464	.826	138	23
vs RHB	.198	.253	.407	.660	81	23

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.208	.316	.416	.732	101	25
2nd Time	.250	.323	.409	.732	88	19
3rd Time	.333	.355	.633	.988	30	2

Seth Lugo (KC)

2026 season

vs TOR

ERA

1.80

5.0

W-L

1-0

WHIP

1.40

AVG

.316

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	5.03	1.42	6.9	2.9	.286	154.0
Home	3.98	1.32	6.5	3.1	.261	81.1
Away	6.19	1.55	7.4	2.6	.312	72.2
Last 7 Days	22.09	3.44	5.6	5.6	.500	3.2
Last 30 Days	8.17	1.59	6.8	1.4	.340	25.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.300	.362	.476	.838	380	76
vs RHB	.260	.309	.437	.747	215	42

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.274	.327	.457	.783	230	48
2nd Time	.279	.343	.406	.749	219	44
3rd Time	.314	.370	.557	.927	140	26

Last 5 Games

KC: L L L W L

TOR: W L W W W

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

TOR leads series 1-0

Season (6 games)

Series tied 2-2

Weather

98°F

Condition: 2

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
Fanatics	-110	-110	12:29 PM
BetRivers	-118	-103	12:29 PM
BetUS	-101	-109	12:29 PM
BetMGM	-105	-115	12:29 PM
DraftKings	-105	-114	12:29 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
Fanatics	9.5	-110	-110	12:29 PM
BetRivers	9.5	-110	-110	12:29 PM
BetUS	9.5	-105	-115	12:29 PM
BetMGM	9.5	-110	-110	12:29 PM
DraftKings	9.5	-108	-112	12:29 PM