Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 12:15 PM EDT

MLB

Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves

TB @ ATL

Scheduled

Moneyline

47%

53%

ATL

+107-118

ML Edge

TB-3.8%

ATL+3.8%

Total (O/U)

8.5

BetUS

Over+24.7%

Under-24.7%

Venue

Park Factor

1.00

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Tampa Bay Rays (TB)

Pitcher:Nick Martinez(RHP)

Record:14-4

ERA:3.04

Home Starter

Team:Atlanta Braves (ATL)

Pitcher:Martin Perez(RHP)

Record:8-9

ERA:3.25

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

ATL ML has a 3.8% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 24.7% edge.

Top prop: Junior Caminero UNDER 1.5 batter hits (68% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Nick Martinez (3.04 ERA) vs Martin Perez (3.25 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 43

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Junior Caminero	UNDER hits	1.5	-250	68%	53.8
Ronald Acuna Jr.	OVER hits	0.5	-233	67%	53.4
Michael Harris II	UNDER hits	1.5	-233	67%	53.3
Jonathan Aranda	OVER hits	0.5	-200	66%	52.9
Mauricio Dubon	OVER hits	0.5	-208	65%	52.5
Yandy Diaz	OVER hits	0.5	-312	72%	52.2
Junior Caminero	OVER hits	0.5	-303	72%	51.9
Michael Harris II	OVER hits	0.5	-278	70%	51.1
Chandler Simpson	OVER hits	0.5	-263	69%	50.7
Chandler Simpson	UNDER hits	1.5	-227	65%	48.7
Yandy Diaz	UNDER hits	1.5	-208	65%	48.5
Drake Baldwin	OVER hits	0.5	-196	64%	48.2
Matt Olson	OVER hits	0.5	-200	63%	47.6
Liam Hicks	OVER hits	0.5	-175	63%	47.4
Mauricio Dubon	UNDER total bases	1.5	-196	62%	47.2

Pitching Props 7

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Reynaldo Lopez	UNDER outs	15.5	-149	57%	44.4
Griffin Jax	UNDER walks	1.5	-222	65%	44.3
Griffin Jax	OVER outs	13.5	-189	62%	43.2
Reynaldo Lopez	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-115	54%	43.1
Reynaldo Lopez	OVER outs	14.5	-185	62%	43.0
Griffin Jax	UNDER outs	14.5	-118	53%	42.3
Griffin Jax	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-115	50%	41.2

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

ATL

42.2%57.8%

Nick Martinez (TB)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.04	1.10	5.3	1.3	.249	160.0
Home	3.92	1.21	5.7	1.5	.268	80.1
Away	2.15	1.00	5.0	1.3	.229	79.2
Last 7 Days	4.26	1.15	5.9	3.0	.217	6.1
Last 30 Days	4.65	1.10	6.4	1.2	.250	31.0

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.231	.263	.388	.652	363	60
vs RHB	.274	.303	.407	.710	248	35

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.218	.256	.380	.636	234	42
2nd Time	.235	.257	.352	.609	230	34
3rd Time	.321	.354	.493	.847	140	18

Martin Perez (ATL)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.25	1.27	6.8	3.9	.227	124.2
Home	1.99	1.06	6.4	4.0	.179	68.0
Away	4.76	1.53	7.4	3.8	.278	56.2
Last 7 Days	9.82	3.44	8.4	11.3	.389	3.2
Last 30 Days	3.70	1.78	6.0	5.2	.296	24.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.259	.312	.427	.738	143	32
vs RHB	.213	.309	.346	.655	315	62

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.205	.306	.370	.676	200	46
2nd Time	.231	.292	.368	.660	182	36
3rd Time	.276	.360	.382	.742	76	12

Last 5 Games

ATL: L W L L L

TB: W W L W W

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

TB leads series 2-0

Weather

84°F

Condition: 3

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
BetUS	+107	-118	5:26 PM
Bovada	+104	-123	5:26 PM
Caesars	+105	-125	5:26 PM
BetOnline.ag	+107	-118	5:26 PM
LowVig.ag	+107	-118	5:26 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
BetUS	8.5	-125	+105	5:26 PM
Bovada	8.0	-105	-115	5:26 PM
Caesars	8.5	-125	+105	5:26 PM
BetOnline.ag	8.5	-125	+105	5:26 PM
LowVig.ag	8.5	-123	+107	5:26 PM