Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT

MLB

Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves

TB @ ATL

Scheduled

Moneyline

50%

ATL

-109-110

ML Edge

TB-6.5%

ATL+6.5%

Total (O/U)

8.5

BetRivers

Over+22.8%

Under-22.8%

Venue

Park Factor

1.00

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Tampa Bay Rays (TB)

Pitcher:Griffin Jax(RHP)

Record:6-10

ERA:3.82

Home Starter

Team:Atlanta Braves (ATL)

Pitcher:Reynaldo Lopez(RHP)

Record:4-3

ERA:3.64

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

ATL ML has a 6.5% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 22.8% edge.

Top prop: Drake Baldwin OVER 0.5 batter hits (66% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Griffin Jax (3.82 ERA) vs Reynaldo Lopez (3.64 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 42

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Drake Baldwin	OVER hits	0.5	-233	66%	53.2
Jonathan Aranda	OVER hits	0.5	-233	66%	53.2
Michael Harris II	OVER hits	0.5	-233	66%	53.1
Junior Caminero	OVER hits	0.5	-278	70%	51.1
Chandler Simpson	OVER hits	0.5	-256	68%	50.2
Chandler Simpson	UNDER hits	1.5	-263	68%	50.1
Junior Caminero	UNDER hits	1.5	-263	68%	50.0
Mauricio Dubon	UNDER total bases	1.5	-244	67%	49.3
Yandy Diaz	UNDER hits	1.5	-227	65%	48.7
Ronald Acuna Jr.	OVER hits	0.5	-200	64%	47.9
Matt Olson	OVER hits	0.5	-175	62%	46.8
Mauricio Dubon	OVER hits	0.5	-182	61%	46.7
Chandler Simpson	UNDER total bases	1.5	-185	61%	46.6
Ozzie Albies	OVER hits	0.5	-179	61%	46.5
Liam Hicks	OVER hits	0.5	-172	60%	46.2

Pitching Props 8

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
AJ Smith-Shawver	OVER outs	14.5	-179	61%	46.7
Freddy Peralta	UNDER outs	15.5	-156	58%	45.1
AJ Smith-Shawver	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-143	57%	44.4
Freddy Peralta	OVER outs	14.5	-172	63%	43.6
Freddy Peralta	OVER walks	1.5	-164	58%	41.1
Freddy Peralta	OVER strikeouts	4.5	-110	50%	41.1
Freddy Peralta	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-105	50%	40.9
AJ Smith-Shawver	UNDER walks	1.5	-149	56%	40.2

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

ATL

49.1%50.9%

Griffin Jax (TB)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.82	1.28	9.7	3.1	.250	94.1
Home	3.60	1.22	11.7	3.2	.231	50.0
Away	4.06	1.34	7.3	2.9	.271	44.1
Last 7 Days	10.13	4.09	4.1	8.2	.467	2.2
Last 30 Days	10.13	4.09	4.1	8.2	.467	2.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.261	.314	.427	.740	218	67
vs RHB	.231	.307	.381	.688	134	34

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.282	.341	.420	.761	188	54
2nd Time	.225	.287	.450	.736	129	39
3rd Time	.171	.237	.200	.437	35	8

Reynaldo Lopez (ATL)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.64	1.35	8.3	3.7	.245	71.2
Home	3.79	1.27	9.0	3.8	.230	40.1
Away	3.45	1.45	7.5	3.5	.262	31.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.218	.347	.394	.741	142	37
vs RHB	.273	.281	.432	.713	132	29

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.288	.354	.459	.813	170	36
2nd Time	.175	.258	.300	.558	80	24
3rd Time	.167	.259	.458	.718	24	6

Last 5 Games

ATL: W W L W L

TB: L L W W L

Season Series

Season (3 games)

Series starts 9/8

Weather

86°F

Condition: 2

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
BetRivers	-109	-110	12:30 PM
BetUS	+101	-111	12:30 PM
Bovada	-103	-118	12:30 PM
Caesars	+101	-111	12:30 PM
DraftKings	-103	-118	12:30 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
BetRivers	8.5	-118	-105	12:30 PM
BetUS	8.5	-120	+100	12:30 PM
Bovada	8.5	-125	+105	12:30 PM
Caesars	8.5	-120	+100	12:30 PM
DraftKings	8.0	-101	-119	12:30 PM