Thursday, April 16, 2026 at 12:40 PM EDT

San Francisco Giants @ Cincinnati Reds

SF @ CIN

Scheduled

Moneyline

49%

51%

CIN

+100-110

ML Edge

SF-3.2%

CIN+3.2%

Total (O/U)

8.5

LowVig.ag

Over-2.4%

Under+2.4%

Venue

Park Factor

1.05

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:San Francisco Giants (SF)

Pitcher:Landen Roupp(RHP)

Record:2-1

ERA:3.24

Home Starter

Team:Cincinnati Reds (CIN)

Pitcher:Chase Burns(RHP)

Record:1-1

ERA:3.31

💡 Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

💰

SF ML has a 3.2% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

🎯

Top prop: Sal Stewart OVER 0.5 batter hits (70% win prob).

⚾

Pitching matchup: Landen Roupp (3.24 ERA) vs Chase Burns (3.31 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

⚾ Batting Props (44)

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Sal Stewart	OVER hits	0.5	-250	70%	55.1
Luis Arraez	OVER hits	0.5	-385	76%	54.0
Sal Stewart	UNDER hits	1.5	-250	68%	54.0
Willy Adames	OVER total bases	0.5	-370	75%	53.6
Willy Adames	UNDER hits	1.5	-250	67%	53.6
Sal Stewart	OVER total bases	0.5	-357	75%	53.3
Willy Adames	OVER hits	0.5	-312	74%	53.0
Rafael Devers	OVER total bases	0.5	-333	73%	52.7
Matt Chapman	OVER total bases	0.5	-323	73%	52.5
Luis Arraez	OVER total bases	0.5	-323	73%	52.5
Elly De La Cruz	OVER doubles	0.5	+430	22%	51.9
Eugenio Suarez	OVER total bases	0.5	-286	71%	51.4
Elly De La Cruz	OVER total bases	0.5	-263	69%	50.6
Casey Schmitt	OVER total bases	0.5	-256	69%	50.4
Matt McLain	OVER total bases	0.5	-256	69%	50.4

🎯 Pitching Props (6)

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Rhett Lowder	OVER strikeouts	2.5	-303	70%	51.2
Tyler Mahle	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-294	70%	50.9
Rhett Lowder	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-263	68%	49.8
Tyler Mahle	OVER strikeouts	4.5	+100	51%	46.2
Tyler Mahle	UNDER outs	15.5	-154	57%	44.7
Tyler Mahle	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-227	65%	44.3

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

CIN

39.4%60.6%

Landen Roupp (SF)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.24	1.17	10.0	2.8	.219	16.2
Home	9.64	1.90	15.0	2.1	.318	4.2
Away	0.75	0.92	8.3	3.0	.167	12.0
Last 7 Days	1.50	1.17	6.0	3.0	.217	6.0
Last 30 Days	3.24	1.17	10.0	2.8	.219	16.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.188	.257	.281	.538	32	9
vs RHB	.250	.294	.281	.575	32	9

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.192	.222	.269	.491	26	10
2nd Time	.174	.296	.261	.557	23	6
3rd Time	.333	.333	.333	.667	15	2

Chase Burns (CIN)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.31	1.30	10.1	4.5	.210	16.1
Home	4.35	1.49	8.0	6.2	.205	10.1
Away	1.50	1.00	13.5	1.5	.217	6.0
Last 7 Days	8.44	2.16	3.5	7.1	.304	5.1
Last 30 Days	3.31	1.30	10.1	4.5	.210	16.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.300	.432	.500	.932	30	9
vs RHB	.125	.152	.250	.402	32	9

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.125	.222	.125	.347	24	9
2nd Time	.174	.296	.217	.514	23	7
3rd Time	.400	.438	1.000	1.438	15	2

Last 5 Games

CIN: L W L W W

SF: W W L L L

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

CIN leads series 2-0

Weather

72°F

Condition: 15

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
LowVig.ag	+100	-110	6:32 PM
BetOnline.ag	+100	-110	6:32 PM
Fanatics	+100	-120	6:32 PM
FanDuel	+106	-123	6:32 PM
BetMGM	-110	-110	6:32 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
LowVig.ag	8.5	-102	-114	6:32 PM
BetOnline.ag	8.5	-105	-115	6:32 PM
Fanatics	8.5	-105	-115	6:32 PM
FanDuel	8.5	-105	-115	6:32 PM
BetMGM	9.5	-120	+100	6:32 PM