Thursday, April 16, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT

Seattle Mariners @ San Diego Padres

SEA @ SD

Scheduled

Moneyline

SEA

51%

49%

-108-103

ML Edge

SEA+0.8%

SD-0.8%

Total (O/U)

8.0

LowVig.ag

Over+0.7%

Under-0.7%

Venue

Park Factor

0.95

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Seattle Mariners (SEA)

Pitcher:Luis Castillo(RHP)

Record:0-0

ERA:6.92

Home Starter

Team:San Diego Padres (SD)

Pitcher:Walker Buehler(RHP)

Record:0-1

ERA:4.97

💡 Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

🎯

Top prop: Randy Vasquez OVER 2.5 pitcher strikeouts (78% win prob).

⚾

Pitching matchup: Luis Castillo (6.92 ERA) vs Walker Buehler (4.97 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

⚾ Batting Props (44)

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Jackson Merrill	OVER total bases	0.5	-270	70%	50.9
Cal Raleigh	OVER total bases	0.5	-164	64%	50.8
Julio Rodriguez	OVER total bases	0.5	-263	69%	50.6
Brendan Donovan	OVER total bases	0.5	-256	69%	50.4
Jackson Merrill	OVER hits	0.5	-222	67%	49.4
Ramon Laureano	OVER total bases	0.5	-233	67%	49.4
Fernando Tatis Jr.	OVER hits	0.5	-200	66%	49.2
Brendan Donovan	OVER hits	0.5	-233	66%	49.1
Fernando Tatis Jr.	OVER total bases	0.5	-200	66%	49.1
Ramon Laureano	OVER stolen bases	0.5	+850	12%	48.9
Josh Naylor	OVER hits	0.5	-200	66%	48.8
Julio Rodriguez	OVER hits	0.5	-213	65%	48.7
Ramon Laureano	OVER hits	0.5	-208	64%	48.1
Xander Bogaerts	OVER hits	0.5	-189	63%	47.5
Manny Machado	OVER hits	0.5	-185	62%	46.9

🎯 Pitching Props (6)

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Randy Vasquez	OVER strikeouts	2.5	-500	78%	54.9
Randy Vasquez	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-400	75%	53.5
Emerson Hancock	OVER strikeouts	2.5	-385	74%	53.0
Randy Vasquez	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-149	58%	45.2
Emerson Hancock	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-135	56%	43.9
Emerson Hancock	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-208	63%	43.6

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

SEA

47.4%52.6%

Luis Castillo (SEA)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	2.79	1.30	10.8	2.9	.250	9.2
Home	0.00	0.83	10.5	3.0	.158	6.0
Away	7.36	2.19	11.3	2.8	.353	3.2
Last 7 Days	7.36	2.19	11.3	2.8	.353	3.2
Last 30 Days	2.79	1.30	10.8	2.9	.250	9.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.100	.143	.150	.293	20	6
vs RHB	.438	.526	.563	1.089	16	5

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.294	.333	.412	.745	17	4
2nd Time	.286	.412	.357	.769	14	5
3rd Time	.000	.000	.000	.000	5	2

Walker Buehler (SD)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	9.45	2.10	10.2	7.3	.296	6.2
Home	6.75	1.75	6.8	4.5	.313	4.0
Away	13.50	2.73	16.4	12.3	.273	2.2
Last 7 Days	13.50	2.73	16.4	12.3	.273	2.2
Last 30 Days	9.45	2.10	10.2	7.3	.296	6.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.308	.438	.538	.976	13	3
vs RHB	.286	.412	.500	.912	14	4

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.200	.333	.400	.733	15	6
2nd Time	.455	.571	.727	1.299	11	1
3rd Time	.000	.000	.000	.000	1	0

Last 5 Games

SD: W W W W W

SEA: W W W W L

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

SD leads series 1-0

Weather

65°F

Condition: 4

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
LowVig.ag	-108	-103	6:32 PM
BetOnline.ag	-108	-103	6:32 PM
FanDuel	-116	-102	6:32 PM
MyBookie.ag	-104	-112	6:32 PM
BetUS	+101	-111	6:32 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
LowVig.ag	8.0	-102	-114	6:32 PM
BetOnline.ag	8.0	-105	-115	6:32 PM
FanDuel	8.5	-122	+100	6:32 PM
MyBookie.ag	8.0	-116	-105	6:32 PM
BetUS	8.0	-115	-105	6:32 PM