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Monday, April 27, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT

Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins

SEA @ MIN

Scheduled

Moneyline

SEA
53%
47%
MIN
-123+106

ML Edge

SEA-5.1%
MIN+5.1%

Total (O/U)

8.5

MyBookie.ag

Over+1.0%
Under-1.0%

Venue

Park Factor

1.02

Neutral

Away Starter

Luis Castillo
Team:Seattle Mariners (SEA)
Pitcher:Luis Castillo(RHP)
Record:0-1
ERA:5.01

Home Starter

Connor Prielipp
Team:Minnesota Twins (MIN)
Pitcher:Connor Prielipp(RHP)
Record:0-0
ERA:4.50

💡 Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

💰

SEA ML has a 5.1% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

🎯

Top prop: Julio Rodriguez OVER 0.5 batter hits (75% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Luis Castillo (5.01 ERA) vs Connor Prielipp (4.50 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

⚾ Batting Props (44)

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Julio RodriguezOVER hits0.5-33375%53.5
Josh NaylorOVER hits0.5-34575%53.3
Julio RodriguezUNDER hits1.5-22766%53.1
Cal RaleighOVER total bases0.5-32373%52.5
Julio RodriguezOVER total bases0.5-32373%52.5
Josh NaylorOVER total bases0.5-32373%52.5
Byron BuxtonOVER total bases0.5-30372%51.9
Josh BellOVER total bases0.5-27070%50.9
Mitch GarverOVER total bases0.5-13559%50.2
Randy ArozarenaOVER total bases0.5-23867%49.6
Byron BuxtonOVER hits0.5-20066%49.0
Josh BellOVER hits0.5-20065%48.4
Josh NaylorUNDER hits1.5-20864%47.9
Cal RaleighOVER hits0.5-18964%47.9
Victor CaratiniOVER hits0.5-20064%47.9

🎯 Pitching Props (6)

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Luis CastilloUNDER strikeouts6.5-38574%53.2
Luis CastilloOVER strikeouts3.5-37074%52.8
Connor PrielippOVER strikeouts3.5-27868%50.2
Connor PrielippUNDER strikeouts5.5-23365%44.5
Luis CastilloOVER strikeouts4.5-14957%44.4
Connor PrielippOVER outs14.5-14956%44.2

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

SEA
MIN
47.1%52.9%

Luis Castillo (SEA)

2026 season
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall5.011.739.03.5.31623.1
Home5.651.6310.23.2.31014.1
Away4.001.897.04.0.3259.0
Last 7 Days3.601.4010.83.6.2635.0
Last 30 Days5.011.739.03.5.31623.1
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.227.292.477.7694410
vs RHB.389.450.426.8765413
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.317.378.439.8174112
2nd Time.350.409.550.959408
3rd Time.235.316.235.551173

Connor Prielipp (MIN)

2026 season
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall4.501.0013.50.0.2354.0
Away4.501.0013.50.0.2354.0
Last 7 Days4.501.0013.50.0.2354.0
Last 30 Days4.501.0013.50.0.2354.0
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.000.000.000.00020
vs RHB.267.267.400.667156
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.222.222.333.55695
2nd Time.250.250.375.62581
3rd Time.000.000.000.00000

Last 5 Games

MIN: L L L L L
SEA: L W W W W

Season Series

Season (6 games)

Weather

55°F
Condition: 18

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

BookAwayHomeTime
MyBookie.ag-123+1064:42 PM
Bovada-130+1084:42 PM
BetMGM-130+1104:42 PM
BetUS-123+1124:42 PM
BetRivers-135+1104:42 PM

Totals

BookTotalOverUnderTime
MyBookie.ag8.5-101-1204:42 PM
Bovada9.0-120+1004:42 PM
BetMGM8.5+100-1204:42 PM
BetUS8.5+105-1254:42 PM
BetRivers8.5-103-1224:42 PM