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Wednesday, June 10, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT
MLB

Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles

SEA @ BAL

Scheduled

Moneyline

SEA
50%
50%
BAL
-110-110

ML Edge

SEA-10.2%
BAL+10.2%

Total (O/U)

8.5

Caesars

Over-3.4%
Under+3.4%

Venue

Park Factor

1.04

Neutral

Away Starter

George Kirby
Team:Seattle Mariners (SEA)
Pitcher:George Kirby(RHP)
Record:5-5
ERA:4.04

Home Starter

Brandon Young
Team:Baltimore Orioles (BAL)
Pitcher:Brandon Young(RHP)
Record:4-1
ERA:3.47

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

SEA ML has a 10.2% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 3.4% edge.

Top prop: Josh Naylor OVER 0.5 batter hits (66% win prob).

Pitching matchup: George Kirby (4.04 ERA) vs Brandon Young (3.47 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 42

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Josh NaylorOVER hits0.5-20866%52.8
Gunnar HendersonOVER hits0.5-20865%52.7
Pete AlonsoOVER hits0.5-20865%52.7
Randy ArozarenaOVER hits0.5-23367%49.3
Julio RodriguezUNDER hits1.5-22765%48.7
Adley RutschmanOVER hits0.5-20064%48.2
Taylor WardOVER hits0.5-18963%47.3
Victor RoblesOVER hits0.5-18562%47.0
Josh NaylorUNDER total bases1.5-17260%46.2
Adley RutschmanUNDER total bases1.5-16960%46.0
Samuel BasalloOVER hits0.5-16160%45.9
Taylor WardUNDER total bases1.5-16960%45.8
Gunnar HendersonUNDER total bases1.5-14958%44.9
Leody TaverasOVER hits0.5-14157%44.6
Pete AlonsoUNDER total bases1.5-14957%44.3

Pitching Props 8

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Trevor RogersOVER strikeouts4.5-13555%43.7
Logan GilbertUNDER strikeouts6.5-13555%43.5
Trevor RogersOVER outs16.5-11551%41.7
Logan GilbertOVER outs17.5-11451%41.4
Logan GilbertUNDER outs17.5-11050%40.8
Trevor RogersUNDER outs16.5-10249%40.3
Logan GilbertOVER strikeouts6.5+11545%38.5
Trevor RogersUNDER strikeouts4.5+11845%38.3

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

SEA
BAL
50.3%49.7%

George Kirby (SEA)

2026 season
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall4.041.287.42.1.27278.0
Home4.561.278.22.5.25847.1
Away3.231.326.31.5.29230.2
Last 7 Days9.002.5011.32.3.4094.0
Last 30 Days6.231.658.72.1.33026.0
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.250.314.365.67915630
vs RHB.295.318.404.72214634
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.237.263.316.57911428
2nd Time.305.368.381.74810519
3rd Time.284.318.494.8118117

Brandon Young (BAL)

2026 season
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall3.471.346.83.1.25749.1
Home3.491.427.42.9.27028.1
Away3.431.246.03.4.23721.0
Last 7 Days4.261.155.90.0.3046.1
Last 30 Days2.831.287.32.9.25228.2
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.218.288.382.67011017
vs RHB.309.352.420.7728120
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.250.301.421.7227615
2nd Time.261.338.406.7436911
3rd Time.261.286.348.6344611

Last 5 Games

BAL: W L L L L
SEA: L W L W W

Season Series

This Series (4 games)
SEA leads series 2-0

Weather

83°F
Condition: 4

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

BookAwayHomeTime
Caesars-110-1102:53 PM
BetRivers-118-1082:53 PM
BetMGM-110-1102:53 PM
BetUS-106-1042:53 PM
MyBookie.ag-108-1082:53 PM

Totals

BookTotalOverUnderTime
Caesars8.5+100-1202:53 PM
BetRivers9.0-122-1032:53 PM
BetMGM8.5-102-1182:53 PM
BetUS8.5+100-1202:53 PM
MyBookie.ag8.5+100-1222:53 PM