Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT

MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres

PIT @ SD

Scheduled

Moneyline

PIT

50%

-109-108

ML Edge

PIT+9.8%

SD-9.8%

Total (O/U)

7.5

MyBookie.ag

Over+21.4%

Under-21.4%

Venue

Park Factor

0.95

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT)

Pitcher:Paul Skenes(RHP)

Record:9-11

ERA:3.95

Home Starter

Team:San Diego Padres (SD)

Pitcher:Michael King(RHP)

Record:8-9

ERA:3.38

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

PIT ML has a 9.8% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 21.4% edge.

Top prop: Fernando Tatis Jr. UNDER 1.5 batter hits (69% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Paul Skenes (3.95 ERA) vs Michael King (3.38 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 43

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Fernando Tatis Jr.	UNDER hits	1.5	-270	69%	54.4
Nick Gonzales	OVER hits	0.5	-227	66%	53.2
Ty France	OVER hits	0.5	-185	62%	47.1
Ty France	UNDER total bases	1.5	-185	62%	46.9
Jackson Merrill	OVER hits	0.5	-189	62%	46.9
Manny Machado	OVER hits	0.5	-179	62%	46.8
Bryan Reynolds	OVER hits	0.5	-164	61%	46.5
Jake Mangum	OVER hits	0.5	-175	61%	46.5
Manny Machado	UNDER total bases	1.5	-175	61%	46.4
Jackson Merrill	UNDER total bases	1.5	-179	60%	46.2
Nick Gonzales	UNDER total bases	1.5	-175	60%	46.1
Jake Mangum	OVER total bases	0.5	-167	59%	45.7
Luis Rengifo	OVER hits	0.5	-161	58%	44.9
Jake Cronenworth	OVER hits	0.5	-154	58%	44.8
Jake Cronenworth	OVER total bases	0.5	-154	57%	44.7

Pitching Props 7

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Braxton Ashcraft	OVER outs	17.5	-167	59%	45.7
Braxton Ashcraft	OVER strikeouts	4.5	-156	58%	45.1
Braxton Ashcraft	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-149	58%	44.8
Robbie Ray	OVER strikeouts	5.5	-120	52%	41.9
Robbie Ray	OVER outs	16.5	-122	51%	41.6
Robbie Ray	UNDER outs	16.5	-106	49%	40.4
Robbie Ray	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	+101	48%	40.1

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

PIT

48.9%51.1%

Paul Skenes (PIT)

2026 season

vs SD

ERA

1.42

6.1

W-L

1-0

WHIP

0.66

AVG

.100

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.95	1.14	11.1	2.7	.229	139.0
Home	3.59	1.06	12.1	2.3	.218	77.2
Away	4.40	1.26	9.9	3.1	.242	61.1
Last 7 Days	6.23	1.95	11.0	8.8	.267	4.1
Last 30 Days	6.46	1.68	12.8	5.8	.267	23.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.217	.287	.365	.652	304	96
vs RHB	.245	.305	.387	.692	212	75

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.194	.276	.364	.640	206	78
2nd Time	.207	.283	.303	.586	198	61
3rd Time	.330	.353	.518	.871	112	32

Michael King (SD)

2026 season

vs PIT

ERA

3.00

6.0

W-L

1-0

WHIP

1.17

AVG

.190

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.38	1.17	7.7	3.5	.217	149.0
Home	3.21	1.13	8.1	3.4	.213	75.2
Away	3.56	1.23	7.4	3.7	.221	73.1
Last 7 Days	2.70	0.97	5.8	2.9	.174	6.2
Last 30 Days	3.94	1.20	7.7	2.8	.236	29.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.222	.302	.353	.655	334	73
vs RHB	.210	.305	.346	.651	205	55

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.186	.268	.338	.606	210	59
2nd Time	.223	.307	.359	.667	206	46
3rd Time	.250	.348	.325	.673	120	22

Last 5 Games

SD: W L W W W

PIT: W W L L L

Season Series

Season (6 games)

SD leads series 2-1

Weather

81°F

Condition: 2

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
MyBookie.ag	-109	-108	12:18 PM
BetUS	-105	-105	12:18 PM
BetRivers	-109	-108	12:18 PM
Fanatics	-110	-110	12:18 PM
Bovada	-110	-110	12:18 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
MyBookie.ag	7.5	-116	-105	12:18 PM
BetUS	7.5	-115	-105	12:18 PM
BetRivers	7.5	-114	-105	12:18 PM
Fanatics	7.5	-120	+100	12:18 PM
Bovada	7.5	-120	+100	12:18 PM