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Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT
MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox

PIT @ CHW

Scheduled

Moneyline

PIT
45%
55%
CHW
+119-132

ML Edge

PIT+5.3%
CHW-5.3%

Total (O/U)

8.5

BetUS

Over+6.4%
Under-6.4%

Venue

Park Factor

Pitcher-friendly

Away Starter

Jared Jones
Team:Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT)
Pitcher:Jared Jones(RHP)
Record:3-6
ERA:4.46

Home Starter

Hagen Smith
Team:Chicago White Sox (CHW)
Pitcher:Hagen Smith(RHP)
Record:3-1
ERA:0.56

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

CHW ML has a 5.3% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 6.4% edge.

Top prop: Konnor Griffin OVER 0.5 batter hits (67% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Jared Jones (4.46 ERA) vs Hagen Smith (0.56 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 44

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Konnor GriffinOVER hits0.5-25067%53.6
Nick GonzalesOVER hits0.5-23367%53.5
Nick GonzalesUNDER hits1.5-26368%50.1
Miguel VargasOVER hits0.5-18564%47.8
Bryan ReynoldsOVER hits0.5-18563%47.5
Sam AntonacciUNDER total bases1.5-19663%47.4
Sam AntonacciOVER hits0.5-18563%47.3
Brandon LoweOVER hits0.5-18262%47.1
Nick GonzalesUNDER total bases1.5-17561%46.4
Bryan ReynoldsUNDER total bases1.5-18261%46.4
Sam AntonacciOVER total bases0.5-17560%46.2
Spencer HorwitzOVER hits0.5-16460%46.2
Jake MangumOVER hits0.5-16760%45.9
Oneil CruzOVER hits0.5-15959%45.6
Brandon LoweUNDER total bases1.5-16459%45.5

Pitching Props 6

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Lake BacharUNDER outs6.5-18961%42.3
Davis MartinOVER outs15.5-11451%41.7
Davis MartinUNDER strikeouts4.5-10850%41.1
Davis MartinOVER strikeouts4.5-10350%40.9
Davis MartinUNDER outs15.5-10249%40.4
Davis MartinUNDER walks1.5-12251%37.6

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

PIT
CHW
46.6%53.4%

Jared Jones (PIT)

2026 season
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall4.461.2410.63.2.23078.2
Home4.601.0210.22.6.20145.0
Away4.281.5411.14.1.26533.2
Last 7 Days0.000.6713.51.5.1506.0
Last 30 Days2.751.3512.74.2.23019.2
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.233.318.448.76617257
vs RHB.227.270.375.64512835
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.174.248.290.53813853
2nd Time.282.336.557.89313131
3rd Time.258.361.387.748318

Hagen Smith (CHW)

2026 season
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall0.560.9412.95.6.09616.0
Home0.000.8513.85.5.07313.0
Away3.001.339.06.0.1823.0
Last 7 Days0.000.4012.60.0.1255.0
Last 30 Days0.640.7912.93.9.10914.0
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.158.238.316.554197
vs RHB.061.244.091.3353316
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.098.246.176.4225123
2nd Time.000.000.000.00010
3rd Time.000.000.000.00000

Last 5 Games

CHW: W L W L L
PIT: W L W W W

Season Series

This Series (3 games)
PIT leads series 2-0

Weather

75°F
Condition: 3

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

BookAwayHomeTime
BetUS+119-1325:26 PM
Bovada+115-1395:26 PM
BetRivers+123-1435:26 PM
BetOnline.ag+118-1305:26 PM
LowVig.ag+118-1305:26 PM

Totals

BookTotalOverUnderTime
BetUS8.5+100-1205:26 PM
Bovada9.0-120+1005:26 PM
BetRivers9.0-122+1045:26 PM
BetOnline.ag8.5+100-1205:26 PM
LowVig.ag8.5+103-1185:26 PM