Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT

MLB

Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners

PHI @ SEA

Scheduled

Moneyline

PHI

52%

48%

SEA

-114+103

ML Edge

PHI+3.8%

SEA-3.8%

Total (O/U)

6.5

BetUS

Over+18.5%

Under-18.5%

Venue

Park Factor

0.94

Pitcher-friendly

Away Starter

Team:Philadelphia Phillies (PHI)

Pitcher:Aaron Nola(RHP)

Record:5-9

ERA:5.12

Home Starter

Team:Seattle Mariners (SEA)

Pitcher:George Kirby(RHP)

Record:8-10

ERA:4.18

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

PHI ML has a 3.8% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 18.5% edge.

Top prop: Luis Arraez OVER 0.5 batter hits (67% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Aaron Nola (5.12 ERA) vs George Kirby (4.18 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 42

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Luis Arraez	OVER hits	0.5	-233	67%	53.6
Dominic Canzone	UNDER total bases	1.5	-238	66%	49.1
Trea Turner	OVER hits	0.5	-200	63%	47.6
Trea Turner	UNDER total bases	1.5	-189	62%	47.0
Alec Bohm	OVER hits	0.5	-189	62%	46.9
Luis Arraez	UNDER total bases	1.5	-185	62%	46.8
Alec Bohm	OVER total bases	0.5	-185	61%	46.6
Josh Naylor	OVER total bases	0.5	-169	60%	45.8
Julio Rodriguez	OVER hits	0.5	-164	59%	45.6
Josh Naylor	OVER hits	0.5	-164	59%	45.6
Kyle Schwarber	OVER hits	0.5	-120	55%	45.6
Julio Rodriguez	OVER total bases	0.5	-159	58%	45.2
Cole Young	OVER hits	0.5	-154	58%	45.1
Bryce Harper	OVER hits	0.5	-154	58%	45.1
Dominic Canzone	OVER hits	0.5	-152	58%	44.9

Pitching Props 8

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Logan Gilbert	OVER outs	17.5	-189	63%	47.3
Zack Wheeler	OVER outs	17.5	-167	59%	45.6
Logan Gilbert	OVER strikeouts	5.5	-147	57%	44.7
Zack Wheeler	UNDER strikeouts	7.5	-147	56%	44.1
Logan Gilbert	UNDER strikeouts	6.5	-135	53%	38.7
Zack Wheeler	OVER strikeouts	7.5	+119	44%	37.9
Logan Gilbert	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	+123	43%	37.3
Zack Wheeler	UNDER outs	17.5	+130	41%	36.6

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

PHI

SEA

44.1%55.9%

Aaron Nola (PHI)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	5.12	1.42	9.6	3.0	.274	137.0
Home	5.72	1.55	10.0	2.9	.297	67.2
Away	4.54	1.30	9.2	3.1	.250	69.1
Last 7 Days	1.29	0.71	10.3	0.0	.192	7.0
Last 30 Days	2.51	1.31	10.9	3.2	.250	28.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.269	.344	.489	.833	323	85
vs RHB	.281	.307	.521	.827	217	61

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.257	.300	.523	.823	218	61
2nd Time	.300	.346	.512	.858	217	55
3rd Time	.260	.358	.442	.800	104	29

George Kirby (SEA)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	4.18	1.36	7.5	2.1	.285	140.0
Home	3.40	1.16	7.5	2.0	.247	79.1
Away	5.19	1.63	7.6	2.2	.331	60.2
Last 7 Days	16.20	3.55	8.7	5.8	.500	3.1
Last 30 Days	7.13	1.71	4.9	3.0	.327	24.0

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.279	.337	.459	.796	283	55
vs RHB	.292	.320	.431	.751	267	62

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.286	.323	.422	.745	206	43
2nd Time	.302	.352	.467	.819	199	40
3rd Time	.270	.304	.461	.765	141	32

Last 5 Games

SEA: L W W L W

PHI: W W W W L

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

SEA leads series 1-0

Weather

83°F

Condition: 5

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
BetUS	-114	+103	12:18 PM
DraftKings	-120	-101	12:18 PM
BetRivers	-118	+100	12:18 PM
Fanatics	-115	-105	12:18 PM
Bovada	-115	-105	12:18 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
BetUS	6.5	+105	-125	12:18 PM
DraftKings	6.5	+102	-123	12:18 PM
BetRivers	6.5	-104	-114	12:18 PM
Fanatics	6.5	+105	-125	12:18 PM
Bovada	6.5	+105	-125	12:18 PM