Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT

MLB

New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres

NYY @ SD

Scheduled

Moneyline

NYY

49%

51%

-105-115

ML Edge

NYY+11.2%

SD-11.2%

Total (O/U)

7.5

Fanatics

Over+23.5%

Under-23.5%

Venue

Park Factor

0.95

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:New York Yankees (NYY)

Pitcher:Gerrit Cole(RHP)

Record:8-7

ERA:3.29

Home Starter

Team:San Diego Padres (SD)

Pitcher:Michael King(RHP)

Record:9-9

ERA:3.11

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

NYY ML has a 11.2% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 23.5% edge.

Top prop: Fernando Tatis Jr. OVER 0.5 batter hits (67% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Gerrit Cole (3.29 ERA) vs Michael King (3.11 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 42

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Fernando Tatis Jr.	OVER hits	0.5	-238	67%	53.4
Spencer Jones	UNDER total bases	1.5	-256	68%	49.8
Austin Hays	UNDER total bases	1.5	-244	67%	49.3
Paul Goldschmidt	OVER hits	0.5	-200	64%	47.9
Cody Bellinger	OVER hits	0.5	-204	63%	47.7
Ty France	OVER hits	0.5	-200	63%	47.5
Ty France	UNDER total bases	1.5	-196	62%	47.2
Jackson Merrill	OVER hits	0.5	-189	62%	47.2
Ben Rice	OVER hits	0.5	-189	62%	46.9
Manny Machado	OVER hits	0.5	-182	62%	46.8
Ben Rice	UNDER total bases	1.5	-182	61%	46.6
Cody Bellinger	UNDER total bases	1.5	-182	61%	46.5
Amed Rosario	OVER hits	0.5	-179	61%	46.5
Paul Goldschmidt	UNDER total bases	1.5	-172	60%	45.9
Heliot Ramos	OVER hits	0.5	-164	60%	45.8

Pitching Props 8

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Carlos Rodon	OVER strikeouts	4.5	-149	57%	44.4
Carlos Rodon	OVER outs	14.5	-141	57%	44.4
Robbie Ray	OVER outs	15.5	-122	52%	41.9
Robbie Ray	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-114	51%	41.7
Robbie Ray	OVER strikeouts	5.5	+107	49%	41.2
Carlos Rodon	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-154	58%	40.9
Robbie Ray	UNDER outs	15.5	-105	48%	40.2
Carlos Rodon	UNDER outs	14.5	+130	43%	37.6

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

NYY

43.6%56.4%

Gerrit Cole (NYY)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.29	1.11	9.5	1.9	.233	104.0
Home	3.35	0.91	9.4	1.5	.200	48.1
Away	3.23	1.29	9.8	2.3	.259	55.2
Last 7 Days	5.06	1.76	8.8	1.8	.348	5.1
Last 30 Days	2.97	1.13	9.6	1.5	.246	30.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.207	.257	.382	.639	241	73
vs RHB	.270	.305	.403	.708	159	37

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.155	.196	.303	.500	155	51
2nd Time	.284	.315	.400	.715	155	38
3rd Time	.278	.343	.522	.866	90	21

Michael King (SD)

2026 season

vs NYY

ERA

4.26

12.2

W-L

0-2

WHIP

0.98

AVG

.217

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.11	1.17	7.8	3.5	.216	162.0
Home	2.94	1.12	8.2	3.3	.213	82.2
Away	3.29	1.23	7.5	3.8	.219	79.1
Last 7 Days	0.00	1.17	9.0	4.5	.190	6.0
Last 30 Days	1.71	1.06	7.8	2.6	.214	31.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.215	.298	.340	.638	362	83
vs RHB	.217	.316	.348	.665	221	58

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.199	.281	.350	.630	226	64
2nd Time	.214	.305	.341	.646	220	53
3rd Time	.239	.338	.306	.644	134	23

Last 5 Games

SD: L W L L W

NYY: W L W W L

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

SD leads series 1-0

Weather

83°F

Condition: 7

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
Fanatics	-105	-115	12:29 PM
BetUS	-105	-105	12:29 PM
BetRivers	+100	-118	12:29 PM
BetMGM	-105	-115	12:29 PM
DraftKings	-106	-114	12:29 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
Fanatics	7.5	-105	-115	12:29 PM
BetUS	7.5	-105	-115	12:29 PM
BetRivers	7.5	-109	-109	12:29 PM
BetMGM	7.5	+100	-120	12:29 PM
DraftKings	8.0	-118	-102	12:29 PM