Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT

MLB

New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres

NYY @ SD

Scheduled

Moneyline

NYY

49%

51%

-105-115

ML Edge

NYY+11.2%

SD-11.2%

Total (O/U)

7.5

Fanatics

Over+23.5%

Under-23.5%

Venue

Park Factor

0.95

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:New York Yankees (NYY)

Pitcher:Carlos Rodon(RHP)

Record:4-3

ERA:3.20

Home Starter

Team:San Diego Padres (SD)

Pitcher:Robbie Ray(RHP)

Record:11-7

ERA:3.14

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

NYY ML has a 11.2% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 23.5% edge.

Top prop: Fernando Tatis Jr. OVER 0.5 batter hits (67% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Carlos Rodon (3.20 ERA) vs Robbie Ray (3.14 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 42

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Fernando Tatis Jr.	OVER hits	0.5	-238	67%	53.4
Spencer Jones	UNDER total bases	1.5	-256	68%	49.8
Austin Hays	UNDER total bases	1.5	-244	67%	49.3
Paul Goldschmidt	OVER hits	0.5	-200	64%	47.9
Cody Bellinger	OVER hits	0.5	-204	63%	47.7
Ty France	OVER hits	0.5	-200	63%	47.5
Ty France	UNDER total bases	1.5	-196	62%	47.2
Jackson Merrill	OVER hits	0.5	-189	62%	47.2
Ben Rice	OVER hits	0.5	-189	62%	46.9
Manny Machado	OVER hits	0.5	-182	62%	46.8
Ben Rice	UNDER total bases	1.5	-182	61%	46.6
Cody Bellinger	UNDER total bases	1.5	-182	61%	46.5
Amed Rosario	OVER hits	0.5	-179	61%	46.5
Paul Goldschmidt	UNDER total bases	1.5	-172	60%	45.9
Heliot Ramos	OVER hits	0.5	-164	60%	45.8

Pitching Props 8

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Carlos Rodon	OVER strikeouts	4.5	-149	57%	44.4
Carlos Rodon	OVER outs	14.5	-141	57%	44.4
Robbie Ray	OVER outs	15.5	-122	52%	41.9
Robbie Ray	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-114	51%	41.7
Robbie Ray	OVER strikeouts	5.5	+107	49%	41.2
Carlos Rodon	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-154	58%	40.9
Robbie Ray	UNDER outs	15.5	-105	48%	40.2
Carlos Rodon	UNDER outs	14.5	+130	43%	37.6

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

NYY

45.8%54.2%

Carlos Rodon (NYY)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.20	1.19	9.6	4.7	.187	59.0
Home	2.92	1.12	10.4	3.7	.191	24.2
Away	3.41	1.26	9.2	5.5	.183	34.1
Last 7 Days	3.86	0.95	10.7	2.1	.176	4.2
Last 30 Days	2.84	0.98	8.1	3.7	.156	12.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.220	.305	.460	.765	50	15
vs RHB	.176	.289	.264	.553	159	48

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.138	.243	.266	.509	94	30
2nd Time	.247	.352	.376	.729	85	25
3rd Time	.167	.265	.267	.531	30	8

Robbie Ray (SD)

2026 season

vs NYY

ERA

2.38

11.1

W-L

2-0

WHIP

1.08

AVG

.150

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.14	1.30	7.6	4.4	.224	149.0
Home	2.72	1.28	7.2	4.9	.205	79.1
Away	3.62	1.34	8.2	3.9	.246	69.2
Last 7 Days	1.50	1.00	6.0	4.5	.167	6.0
Last 30 Days	3.42	1.38	6.6	5.5	.215	26.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.254	.325	.317	.642	142	36
vs RHB	.214	.312	.403	.715	397	90

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.221	.303	.392	.695	217	57
2nd Time	.217	.325	.360	.685	203	53
3rd Time	.241	.321	.388	.709	116	15

Last 5 Games

SD: L W L L W

NYY: W L W W L

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

SD leads series 1-0

Weather

82°F

Condition: 6

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
Fanatics	-105	-115	12:29 PM
BetUS	-105	-105	12:29 PM
BetRivers	+100	-118	12:29 PM
BetMGM	-105	-115	12:29 PM
DraftKings	-106	-114	12:29 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
Fanatics	7.5	-105	-115	12:29 PM
BetUS	7.5	-105	-115	12:29 PM
BetRivers	7.5	-109	-109	12:29 PM
BetMGM	7.5	+100	-120	12:29 PM
DraftKings	8.0	-118	-102	12:29 PM