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Friday, September 4, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT
MLB

New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres

NYY @ SD

NYY2
SD3
Final

Moneyline

NYY
49%
51%
SD
-105-115

ML Edge

NYY+11.2%
SD-11.2%

Total (O/U)

7.5

Fanatics

Over+23.5%
Under-23.5%

Venue

Park Factor

0.95

Neutral

Away Starter

Max Fried
Team:New York Yankees (NYY)
Pitcher:Max Fried(RHP)
Record:4-4
ERA:2.73

Home Starter

Walker Buehler
Team:San Diego Padres (SD)
Pitcher:Walker Buehler(RHP)
Record:8-6
ERA:4.56

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

NYY ML has a 11.2% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 23.5% edge.

Top prop: Fernando Tatis Jr. OVER 0.5 batter hits (67% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Max Fried (2.73 ERA) vs Walker Buehler (4.56 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 42

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Fernando Tatis Jr.OVER hits0.5-23867%53.4
Spencer JonesUNDER total bases1.5-25668%49.8
Austin HaysUNDER total bases1.5-24467%49.3
Paul GoldschmidtOVER hits0.5-20064%47.9
Cody BellingerOVER hits0.5-20463%47.7
Ty FranceOVER hits0.5-20063%47.5
Ty FranceUNDER total bases1.5-19662%47.2
Jackson MerrillOVER hits0.5-18962%47.2
Ben RiceOVER hits0.5-18962%46.9
Manny MachadoOVER hits0.5-18262%46.8
Ben RiceUNDER total bases1.5-18261%46.6
Cody BellingerUNDER total bases1.5-18261%46.5
Amed RosarioOVER hits0.5-17961%46.5
Paul GoldschmidtUNDER total bases1.5-17260%45.9
Heliot RamosOVER hits0.5-16460%45.8

Pitching Props 8

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Carlos RodonOVER strikeouts4.5-14957%44.4
Carlos RodonOVER outs14.5-14157%44.4
Robbie RayOVER outs15.5-12252%41.9
Robbie RayUNDER strikeouts5.5-11451%41.7
Robbie RayOVER strikeouts5.5+10749%41.2
Carlos RodonUNDER strikeouts5.5-15458%40.9
Robbie RayUNDER outs15.5-10548%40.2
Carlos RodonUNDER outs14.5+13043%37.6

Box Score

Final game statistics

New York Yankees (NYY)

BatterABRHRBIBBSOHR
Ben RiceDH4131001
Cody BellingerLF4000030
Luis García Jr.1B4110020
Spencer JonesCF4011020
Trent GrishamCF0000100
Heliot RamosRF3000020
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B3000110
George Lombard Jr.SS3000020
Ryan McMahon3B2000000
Paul GoldschmidtPH1000010
Austin WellsC3000020
Pitching
PitcherIPHRERBBSOPC
Paul Blackburn0.1121017
Will Warren2.10001028
Max Fried5.24111472
David Bednar1.01000114

San Diego Padres (SD)

BatterABRHRBIBBSOHR
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF4000000
Samad TaylorLF4000010
Manny Machado3B4010010
Ty France1B3120110
Jackson MerrillCF3000000
Austin HaysDH4000010
Xander BogaertsSS4011020
Luis CampusanoC4122001
Jake Cronenworth1B2000100
Pitching
PitcherIPHRERBBSOPC
Yuki Matsui1.01000112
Mason Miller2.01100422
Walker Buehler5.03112676
Bradgley Rodriguez1.0000019
Adrian Morejon1.00000314

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

Max Fried (NYY)

2026 season
vs SD
ERA
1.59
IP
5.2
W-L
0-0
K
4
WHIP
0.96
AVG
.211
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall2.731.008.22.7.19995.2
Home3.131.118.53.6.19837.1
Away2.470.938.12.2.19958.1
Last 7 Days1.930.997.92.0.2129.1
Last 30 Days1.311.048.52.7.21120.2
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.152.218.177.3967919
vs RHB.213.280.292.57225368
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.234.307.350.65813743
2nd Time.200.250.231.48113031
3rd Time.117.206.150.3566010

Walker Buehler (SD)

2026 season
vs NYY
ERA
3.00
IP
6.0
W-L
0-1
K
4
WHIP
0.67
AVG
.111
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall4.561.347.73.4.255136.1
Home4.001.246.83.2.24374.1
Away5.231.478.93.6.26862.0
Last 7 Days3.601.208.11.8.27810.0
Last 30 Days2.531.007.02.0.22332.0
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.275.351.416.76729168
vs RHB.229.296.410.70622749
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.247.323.388.71022758
2nd Time.252.321.422.74321845
3rd Time.288.358.466.8247314

Last 5 Games

Not available yet

Season Series

This Series (3 games)
SD leads series 1-0

Weather

Not available yet

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

BookAwayHomeTime
Fanatics-105-11512:29 PM
BetUS-105-10512:29 PM
BetRivers+100-11812:29 PM
BetMGM-105-11512:29 PM
DraftKings-106-11412:29 PM

Totals

BookTotalOverUnderTime
Fanatics7.5-105-11512:29 PM
BetUS7.5-105-11512:29 PM
BetRivers7.5-109-10912:29 PM
BetMGM7.5+100-12012:29 PM
DraftKings8.0-118-10212:29 PM