Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT

MLB

New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins

NYY @ MIN

Scheduled

Moneyline

NYY

55%

45%

MIN

-137+115

ML Edge

NYY-11.0%

MIN+11.0%

Total (O/U)

8.5

BetRivers

Over+11.0%

Under-11.0%

Venue

Park Factor

1.02

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:New York Yankees (NYY)

Pitcher:Max Fried(RHP)

Record:4-4

ERA:2.73

Home Starter

Team:Minnesota Twins (MIN)

Pitcher:Bailey Ober(RHP)

Record:7-5

ERA:4.28

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

NYY ML has a 11.0% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 11.0% edge.

Top prop: Luis Garcia Jr. OVER 0.5 batter hits (67% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Max Fried (2.73 ERA) vs Bailey Ober (4.28 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 44

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Luis Garcia Jr.	OVER hits	0.5	-238	67%	53.7
Ben Rice	OVER hits	0.5	-227	67%	53.3
Cody Bellinger	OVER hits	0.5	-227	66%	53.2
Brooks Lee	OVER hits	0.5	-222	66%	52.9
Luke Keaschall	OVER hits	0.5	-278	69%	50.6
Luke Keaschall	UNDER hits	1.5	-270	69%	50.4
Aaron Judge	OVER hits	0.5	-208	64%	48.1
Josh Bell	OVER hits	0.5	-200	64%	47.8
Kody Clemens	OVER hits	0.5	-192	63%	47.5
Ryan Jeffers	UNDER total bases	1.5	-189	62%	47.1
Ryan Jeffers	OVER hits	0.5	-182	61%	46.7
Josh Bell	UNDER total bases	1.5	-182	61%	46.6
Brooks Lee	UNDER total bases	1.5	-175	60%	46.2
Victor Caratini	OVER total bases	0.5	-179	60%	46.2
George Lombard Jr.	OVER hits	0.5	-164	60%	45.9

Pitching Props 6

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Dean Kremer	OVER strikeouts	4.5	-132	54%	43.1
Will Warren	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-135	54%	43.1
Dean Kremer	OVER outs	14.5	-132	54%	42.8
Will Warren	UNDER outs	15.5	-114	50%	41.1
Will Warren	OVER outs	15.5	-106	50%	40.8
Dean Kremer	OVER outs	13.5	-147	57%	40.4

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

NYY

MIN

59.9%40.1%

Max Fried (NYY)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	2.73	0.99	8.5	2.8	.195	99.0
Home	3.10	1.09	9.4	3.8	.189	40.2
Away	2.47	0.93	8.1	2.2	.199	58.1
Last 7 Days	2.70	0.97	20.3	5.8	.083	3.1
Last 30 Days	2.13	0.98	11.1	3.0	.178	12.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.146	.220	.171	.391	82	21
vs RHB	.210	.277	.298	.575	262	73

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.228	.302	.359	.661	145	48
2nd Time	.194	.248	.224	.472	134	33
3rd Time	.117	.206	.150	.356	60	10

Bailey Ober (MIN)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	4.28	1.25	6.5	2.6	.246	117.2
Home	3.16	1.07	7.1	2.5	.209	68.1
Away	5.84	1.51	5.7	2.7	.292	49.1
Last 7 Days	2.08	1.71	13.2	6.6	.222	4.1
Last 30 Days	2.41	1.37	8.9	4.5	.216	18.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.237	.296	.447	.742	262	38
vs RHB	.258	.307	.394	.701	198	47

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.190	.268	.302	.569	179	36
2nd Time	.273	.321	.546	.868	183	35
3rd Time	.302	.330	.427	.757	96	14

Last 5 Games

MIN: W L L W L

NYY: W W W L W

Season Series

Season (6 games)

MIN leads series 2-1

Weather

71°F

Condition: 4

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
BetRivers	-137	+115	12:31 PM
Bovada	-139	+116	12:31 PM
BetUS	-133	+121	12:31 PM
Caesars	-135	+115	12:31 PM
DraftKings	-135	+113	12:31 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
BetRivers	8.5	-115	-106	12:31 PM
Bovada	8.5	-110	-110	12:31 PM
BetUS	8.5	-110	-110	12:31 PM
Caesars	8.5	-110	-110	12:31 PM
DraftKings	8.5	-108	-111	12:31 PM