Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT

MLB

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins

NYM @ MIA

Scheduled

Moneyline

NYM

44%

56%

MIA

+117-137

ML Edge

NYM+3.1%

MIA-3.1%

Total (O/U)

8.0

BetRivers

Over-5.6%

Under+5.6%

Venue

Park Factor

0.92

Pitcher-friendly

Away Starter

Team:New York Mets (NYM)

Pitcher:Robert Stock(RHP)

Record:1-3

ERA:5.81

Home Starter

Team:Miami Marlins (MIA)

Pitcher:Janson Junk(RHP)

Record:6-9

ERA:4.00

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

NYM ML has a 3.1% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 5.6% edge.

Top prop: Javier Sanoja OVER 0.5 batter hits (67% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Robert Stock (5.81 ERA) vs Janson Junk (4.00 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 43

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Javier Sanoja	OVER hits	0.5	-233	67%	53.7
Otto Lopez	UNDER hits	1.5	-250	67%	53.6
Bo Bichette	OVER hits	0.5	-238	67%	53.4
Heriberto Hernandez	OVER hits	0.5	-208	66%	53.1
Carson Benge	OVER hits	0.5	-204	64%	48.2
Francisco Lindor	OVER hits	0.5	-196	64%	47.9
Juan Soto	OVER hits	0.5	-179	63%	47.6
Kyle Stowers	OVER hits	0.5	-175	62%	47.0
Carson Benge	UNDER total bases	1.5	-182	62%	46.9
Agustín Ramírez	UNDER total bases	1.5	-185	61%	46.6
Agustín Ramírez	OVER hits	0.5	-161	61%	46.5
Kyle Stowers	UNDER total bases	1.5	-175	61%	46.3
Bo Bichette	UNDER total bases	1.5	-169	60%	46.0
Jared Young	OVER hits	0.5	-161	60%	45.9
Francisco Lindor	UNDER total bases	1.5	-164	60%	45.8

Pitching Props 7

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Sean Manaea	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-137	56%	44.1
Sean Manaea	OVER outs	17.5	-130	54%	42.9
Sandy Alcantara	UNDER outs	18.5	-115	53%	42.5
Sandy Alcantara	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-108	50%	41.0
Sandy Alcantara	OVER strikeouts	4.5	-105	50%	41.0
Sandy Alcantara	OVER walks	1.5	-149	56%	40.2
Sean Manaea	UNDER walks	1.5	-145	55%	39.7

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

NYM

MIA

31.6%68.4%

Robert Stock (NYM)

2026 season

vs MIA

ERA

1.80

5.0

W-L

0-1

WHIP

0.60

AVG

.167

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	5.81	1.76	8.6	4.5	.297	26.1
Home	4.50	1.50	8.5	4.0	.260	18.0
Away	8.64	2.35	8.9	5.6	.368	8.1
Last 7 Days	0.00	10.00	0.0	0.0	.500	0.1
Last 30 Days	3.93	1.60	8.5	4.0	.276	18.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.288	.373	.425	.798	73	15
vs RHB	.316	.409	.395	.804	38	10

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.286	.375	.347	.722	49	11
2nd Time	.280	.333	.360	.693	50	11
3rd Time	.417	.588	.917	1.505	12	3

Janson Junk (MIA)

2026 season

vs NYM

ERA

0.00

5.0

W-L

1-0

WHIP

1.00

AVG

.158

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	4.00	1.28	6.2	2.4	.262	108.0
Home	3.48	1.11	6.6	1.8	.237	64.2
Away	4.78	1.55	5.6	3.3	.298	43.1
Last 7 Days	1.80	0.80	7.2	1.8	.176	5.0
Last 30 Days	2.05	1.03	4.1	2.1	.226	26.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.293	.346	.440	.786	259	50
vs RHB	.210	.256	.357	.613	157	24

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.247	.297	.348	.645	178	32
2nd Time	.235	.304	.389	.693	162	27
3rd Time	.338	.355	.581	.936	74	15

Last 5 Games

MIA: L L L W L

NYM: W W L W W

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

NYM lead series 1-0

Season (13 games)

MIA leads series 6-5

Weather

88°F

Condition: 4

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
BetRivers	+117	-137	12:30 PM
BetUS	+120	-132	12:30 PM
BetMGM	+115	-141	12:30 PM
Bovada	+114	-135	12:30 PM
Caesars	+120	-130	12:30 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
BetRivers	8.0	-115	-103	12:30 PM
BetUS	8.0	-110	-110	12:30 PM
BetMGM	8.0	-110	-110	12:30 PM
Bovada	8.0	-110	-110	12:30 PM
Caesars	8.0	-110	-110	12:30 PM