Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT

MLB

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox

MIN @ CHW

Scheduled

Moneyline

MIN

48%

52%

CHW

+100-120

ML Edge

MIN+2.4%

CHW-2.4%

Total (O/U)

8.5

Fanatics

Over+5.1%

Under-5.1%

Venue

Park Factor

—

Pitcher-friendly

Away Starter

Team:Minnesota Twins (MIN)

Pitcher:Taj Bradley(RHP)

Record:10-6

ERA:3.85

Home Starter

Team:Chicago White Sox (CHW)

Pitcher:Anthony Kay(RHP)

Record:9-7

ERA:4.28

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

The Under has a 5.1% edge.

Top prop: Miguel Vargas OVER 0.5 batter hits (68% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Taj Bradley (3.85 ERA) vs Anthony Kay (4.28 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 42

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Miguel Vargas	OVER hits	0.5	-233	68%	54.0
Brooks Lee	OVER hits	0.5	-222	66%	52.8
Kaelen Culpepper	UNDER total bases	1.5	-238	66%	49.1
Munetaka Murakami	UNDER total bases	1.5	-238	66%	49.1
Kody Clemens	OVER hits	0.5	-233	66%	48.8
Andrew Benintendi	UNDER total bases	1.5	-227	65%	48.7
Sam Antonacci	OVER hits	0.5	-204	64%	48.2
Luke Keaschall	OVER hits	0.5	-204	64%	48.1
Ryan Jeffers	OVER hits	0.5	-204	64%	47.9
Royce Lewis	OVER hits	0.5	-204	64%	47.8
Josh Bell	OVER hits	0.5	-185	62%	47.0
Ryan Jeffers	UNDER total bases	1.5	-175	61%	46.3
Brooks Lee	UNDER total bases	1.5	-169	60%	45.9
Kaelen Culpepper	OVER hits	0.5	-167	60%	45.8
Victor Caratini	OVER hits	0.5	-167	59%	45.7

Pitching Props 8

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Anthony Kay	OVER outs	14.5	-164	60%	46.1
Taj Bradley	OVER outs	17.5	-143	56%	43.9
Anthony Kay	UNDER strikeouts	3.5	-112	51%	41.5
Taj Bradley	OVER strikeouts	6.5	-115	51%	41.4
Taj Bradley	UNDER walks	2.5	-164	58%	41.2
Anthony Kay	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-105	49%	40.5
Anthony Kay	OVER walks	1.5	-154	57%	40.3
Taj Bradley	UNDER outs	17.5	+112	45%	38.4

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

MIN

CHW

45.9%54.1%

Taj Bradley (MIN)

2026 season

vs CHW

ERA

7.71

4.2

W-L

0-1

WHIP

2.86

AVG

.350

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.85	1.27	10.4	3.9	.222	154.1
Home	3.30	1.13	10.6	3.4	.203	73.2
Away	4.35	1.40	10.3	4.3	.239	80.2
Last 7 Days	1.29	1.00	11.6	3.9	.174	7.0
Last 30 Days	4.55	1.40	12.2	4.3	.236	27.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.210	.300	.382	.682	338	111
vs RHB	.239	.311	.374	.686	243	67

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.209	.314	.374	.689	211	65
2nd Time	.189	.266	.304	.570	217	70
3rd Time	.277	.335	.453	.788	148	42

Anthony Kay (CHW)

2026 season

vs MIN

ERA

1.50

6.0

W-L

1-0

WHIP

1.00

AVG

.227

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	4.28	1.36	7.5	3.2	.257	136.2
Home	3.48	1.28	7.4	2.6	.257	75.0
Away	5.25	1.45	7.5	4.0	.257	61.2
Last 7 Days	9.64	1.90	10.7	4.3	.286	4.2
Last 30 Days	5.40	1.37	7.9	2.4	.269	26.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.187	.252	.267	.518	150	47
vs RHB	.285	.376	.485	.861	379	66

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.274	.363	.451	.814	215	53
2nd Time	.252	.322	.436	.758	218	39
3rd Time	.229	.339	.333	.672	96	21

Last 5 Games

CHW: L W L L W

MIN: W W W L L

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

CHW lead series 1-0

Season (13 games)

CHW lead series 7-4

Weather

76°F

Condition: 3

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
Fanatics	+100	-120	12:29 PM
BetRivers	+102	-122	12:29 PM
BetUS	+106	-116	12:29 PM
BetMGM	+100	-120	12:29 PM
DraftKings	+101	-122	12:29 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
Fanatics	8.5	-120	+100	12:29 PM
BetRivers	8.5	-120	-103	12:29 PM
BetUS	8.5	-120	+100	12:29 PM
BetMGM	8.5	-120	+100	12:29 PM
DraftKings	8.0	-102	-119	12:29 PM