Monday, April 27, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT

Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers

MIA @ LAD

Scheduled

Moneyline

MIA

28%

72%

LAD

+255-286

ML Edge

MIA+13.3%

LAD-13.3%

Total (O/U)

8.5

BetOnline.ag

Over+4.6%

Under-4.6%

Venue

Park Factor

1.00

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Miami Marlins (MIA)

Pitcher:Chris Paddack(RHP)

Record:0-4

ERA:6.38

Home Starter

Team:Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD)

Pitcher:Yoshinobu Yamamoto(RHP)

Record:2-2

ERA:2.48

💡 Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

💰

MIA ML has a 13.3% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

📊

The Over has a 4.6% edge.

🎯

Top prop: Shohei Ohtani OVER 0.5 batter total bases (87% win prob).

⚾

Pitching matchup: Chris Paddack (6.38 ERA) vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2.48 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

⚾ Batting Props (40)

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Shohei Ohtani	OVER total bases	0.5	-1000	87%	59.4
Freddie Freeman	OVER hits	0.5	-333	76%	53.8
Shohei Ohtani	OVER hits	0.5	-345	76%	53.8
Max Muncy	OVER total bases	0.5	-161	65%	53.5
Shohei Ohtani	UNDER hits	1.5	-222	66%	53.0
Freddie Freeman	OVER total bases	0.5	-333	73%	52.7
Freddie Freeman	UNDER hits	1.5	-213	65%	52.5
Shohei Ohtani	OVER home runs	0.5	+220	34%	51.7
Will Smith	OVER total bases	0.5	-278	70%	51.1
Jakob Marsee	OVER doubles	0.5	+650	15%	51.0
Teoscar Hernandez	OVER total bases	0.5	-270	70%	50.9
Andy Pages	OVER total bases	0.5	-270	70%	50.9
Kyle Tucker	OVER total bases	0.5	-250	68%	50.1
Will Smith	OVER hits	0.5	-227	67%	49.4
Teoscar Hernandez	OVER hits	0.5	-233	66%	48.9

🎯 Pitching Props (10)

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Chris Paddack	OVER strikeouts	2.5	-500	78%	54.9
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	OVER strikeouts	4.5	-435	76%	54.0
Chris Paddack	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-370	74%	52.8
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	UNDER strikeouts	7.5	-312	70%	51.2
Chris Paddack	OVER outs	14.5	-161	58%	45.2
Chris Paddack	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-149	58%	44.8
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	UNDER strikeouts	6.5	-135	56%	43.8
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	UNDER outs	18.5	-141	55%	43.7
Chris Paddack	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-196	62%	42.8
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	OVER strikeouts	5.5	-189	61%	42.5

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

MIA

LAD

20.0%80.0%

Chris Paddack (MIA)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	6.38	1.54	9.4	2.3	.301	24.0
Home	13.50	2.07	14.3	1.1	.381	8.2
Away	2.35	1.32	7.2	3.0	.246	15.1
Last 7 Days	9.64	2.14	15.0	2.1	.348	4.2
Last 30 Days	6.38	1.54	9.4	2.3	.301	24.0

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.291	.361	.436	.797	55	11
vs RHB	.313	.327	.563	.889	48	14

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.273	.289	.409	.698	44	10
2nd Time	.308	.386	.538	.925	39	7
3rd Time	.350	.381	.600	.981	20	8

Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	2.48	0.90	7.8	1.4	.207	32.2
Home	2.29	0.78	7.0	0.9	.191	19.2
Away	2.77	1.08	9.0	2.1	.229	13.0
Last 7 Days	3.86	1.14	9.0	2.6	.240	7.0
Last 30 Days	2.36	0.92	7.6	1.7	.200	26.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.224	.268	.343	.611	67	15
vs RHB	.184	.212	.327	.538	49	13

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.256	.267	.465	.732	43	11
2nd Time	.116	.156	.186	.342	43	11
3rd Time	.250	.323	.357	.680	28	5

Last 5 Games

LAD: L W L W W

MIA: L W W L L

Season Series

Season (6 games)

Weather

63°F

Condition: 2

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
BetOnline.ag	+255	-286	4:42 PM
LowVig.ag	+255	-286	4:42 PM
MyBookie.ag	+247	-303	4:42 PM
BetUS	+246	-294	4:42 PM
Bovada	+240	-303	4:42 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
BetOnline.ag	8.5	-115	-105	4:42 PM
LowVig.ag	8.5	-114	-102	4:42 PM
MyBookie.ag	8.5	-115	-106	4:42 PM
BetUS	8.5	-115	-105	4:42 PM
Bovada	8.5	-115	-105	4:42 PM