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Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT
MLB

Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MIA @ ARI

Scheduled

Moneyline

MIA
46%
54%
ARI
+108-130

ML Edge

MIA+0.1%
ARI-0.1%

Total (O/U)

8.0

BetRivers

Over+5.1%
Under-5.1%

Venue

Park Factor

Pitcher-friendly

Away Starter

Janson Junk
Team:Miami Marlins (MIA)
Pitcher:Janson Junk(RHP)
Record:6-9
ERA:4.54

Home Starter

Michael Soroka
Team:Arizona Diamondbacks (ARI)
Pitcher:Michael Soroka(RHP)
Record:8-5
ERA:3.53

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

The Under has a 5.1% edge.

Top prop: Otto Lopez UNDER 1.5 batter hits (67% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Janson Junk (4.54 ERA) vs Michael Soroka (3.53 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 43

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Otto LopezUNDER hits1.5-25067%53.7
Ketel MarteOVER hits0.5-23367%53.4
Javier SanojaOVER hits0.5-22265%52.7
Lars NootbaarOVER hits0.5-22265%52.7
Xavier EdwardsOVER hits0.5-21365%52.5
Gabriel MorenoUNDER hits1.5-27870%50.8
Gabriel MorenoOVER hits0.5-25068%50.0
Otto LopezOVER hits0.5-23867%49.6
Nolan ArenadoUNDER total bases1.5-23366%48.8
Corbin CarrollOVER hits0.5-20064%48.2
Geraldo PerdomoOVER hits0.5-20864%48.1
Xavier EdwardsUNDER total bases1.5-20063%47.4
Kyle StowersOVER hits0.5-18563%47.3
Geraldo PerdomoUNDER total bases1.5-20062%47.2
Heriberto HernandezOVER hits0.5-17962%47.1

Pitching Props 7

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Sandy AlcantaraOVER outs17.5-15659%45.4
Corbin BurnesOVER strikeouts3.5-16158%45.1
Corbin BurnesUNDER strikeouts4.5-16158%45.0
Sandy AlcantaraUNDER outs18.5-20062%42.9
Sandy AlcantaraOVER strikeouts3.5-12253%42.5
Corbin BurnesUNDER outs13.5-12853%42.5
Sandy AlcantaraOVER walks1.5-16158%40.8

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

MIA
ARI
41.3%58.7%

Janson Junk (MIA)

2026 season
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall4.541.326.02.4.270111.0
Home4.391.196.31.9.25267.2
Away4.781.555.63.3.29843.1
Last 7 Days24.003.000.03.0.4713.0
Last 30 Days5.011.343.92.3.28123.1
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.296.349.437.78627050
vs RHB.227.274.393.66716324
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.267.317.385.70218732
2nd Time.237.307.385.69116927
3rd Time.333.351.573.9247515

Michael Soroka (ARI)

2026 season
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall3.531.168.62.3.23999.1
Home2.731.208.22.6.24256.0
Away4.571.119.21.9.23543.1
Last 7 Days6.751.009.02.3.2004.0
Last 30 Days7.621.548.33.5.28313.0
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.275.335.410.74522949
vs RHB.182.233.291.52314846
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.242.323.416.73914940
2nd Time.260.296.373.66915033
3rd Time.192.238.244.4827822

Last 5 Games

ARI: W L W L L
MIA: L L L W W

Season Series

Season (6 games)
MIA leads series 3-0

Weather

97°F
Condition: 16

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

BookAwayHomeTime
BetRivers+108-13012:31 PM
Bovada+114-13512:31 PM
BetUS+119-13212:31 PM
BetMGM+110-13512:31 PM
MyBookie.ag+116-13512:31 PM

Totals

BookTotalOverUnderTime
BetRivers8.0-118-12212:31 PM
Bovada8.0-110-11012:31 PM
BetUS8.0-110-11012:31 PM
BetMGM8.0-110-11012:31 PM
MyBookie.ag8.0-112-10912:31 PM