Thursday, April 16, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT

Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers

KC @ DET

Scheduled

Moneyline

50%

DET

-104-106

ML Edge

KC+2.2%

DET-2.2%

Total (O/U)

8.0

LowVig.ag

Over+3.7%

Under-3.7%

Venue

Park Factor

1.00

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Kansas City Royals (KC)

Pitcher:Kris Bubic(RHP)

Record:2-1

ERA:2.50

Home Starter

Team:Detroit Tigers (DET)

Pitcher:Keider Montero(RHP)

Record:1-1

ERA:1.74

💡 Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

📊

The Over has a 3.7% edge.

🎯

Top prop: Jack Flaherty OVER 3.5 pitcher strikeouts (76% win prob).

⚾

Pitching matchup: Kris Bubic (2.50 ERA) vs Keider Montero (1.74 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

⚾ Batting Props (44)

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Bobby Witt Jr.	UNDER hits	1.5	-244	67%	53.5
Bobby Witt Jr.	OVER hits	0.5	-303	74%	52.9
Bobby Witt Jr.	OVER total bases	0.5	-333	73%	52.7
Maikel Garcia	OVER total bases	0.5	-294	71%	51.6
Riley Greene	OVER total bases	0.5	-278	70%	51.1
Dillon Dingler	OVER total bases	0.5	-278	70%	51.1
Kevin McGonigle	OVER total bases	0.5	-270	70%	50.9
Wenceel Perez	OVER total bases	0.5	-263	69%	50.6
Colt Keith	OVER total bases	0.5	-256	69%	50.4
Maikel Garcia	OVER hits	0.5	-270	69%	50.4
Vinnie Pasquantino	OVER total bases	0.5	-256	69%	50.4
Salvador Perez	OVER total bases	0.5	-244	68%	49.9
Kevin McGonigle	OVER hits	0.5	-244	67%	49.7
Dillon Dingler	OVER hits	0.5	-208	65%	48.7
Riley Greene	OVER hits	0.5	-213	65%	48.5

🎯 Pitching Props (6)

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Jack Flaherty	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-455	76%	54.1
Jack Flaherty	UNDER strikeouts	6.5	-357	73%	52.5
Seth Lugo	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-303	70%	51.2
Jack Flaherty	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-154	58%	45.2
Jack Flaherty	OVER strikeouts	4.5	-149	58%	45.0
Seth Lugo	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-233	65%	44.5

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

DET

50.6%49.4%

Kris Bubic (KC)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	2.50	0.83	11.5	3.5	.131	18.0
Home	2.50	0.83	11.5	3.5	.131	18.0
Last 7 Days	0.00	0.43	14.1	1.3	.087	7.0
Last 30 Days	2.50	0.83	11.5	3.5	.131	18.0

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.143	.143	.500	.643	14	6
vs RHB	.128	.241	.255	.496	47	17

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.167	.259	.500	.759	24	10
2nd Time	.125	.222	.208	.431	24	9
3rd Time	.077	.143	.154	.297	13	4

Keider Montero (DET)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	1.74	0.69	8.9	1.8	.139	10.1
Home	1.74	0.69	8.9	1.8	.139	10.1
Last 7 Days	0.00	0.50	10.5	1.5	.100	6.0
Last 30 Days	1.74	0.69	8.9	1.8	.139	10.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.100	.143	.200	.343	20	5
vs RHB	.188	.235	.250	.485	16	5

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.118	.167	.235	.402	17	3
2nd Time	.188	.235	.250	.485	16	5
3rd Time	.000	.000	.000	.000	3	2

Last 5 Games

DET: W W W W W

KC: W W L L L

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

DET leads series 2-0

Weather

69°F

Condition: 7

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
LowVig.ag	-104	-106	6:32 PM
BetOnline.ag	-104	-106	6:32 PM
Fanatics	-110	-110	6:32 PM
FanDuel	-116	-102	6:32 PM
BetMGM	+105	-125	6:32 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
LowVig.ag	8.0	-102	-114	6:32 PM
BetOnline.ag	8.0	-105	-115	6:32 PM
Fanatics	8.0	-110	-110	6:32 PM
FanDuel	8.0	-115	-105	6:32 PM
BetMGM	8.5	-102	-118	6:32 PM