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Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT
MLB

Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies

HOU @ PHI

Scheduled

Moneyline

HOU
44%
56%
PHI
+118-139

ML Edge

HOU+7.1%
PHI-7.1%

Total (O/U)

8.5

BetRivers

Over-6.0%
Under+6.0%

Venue

Park Factor

1.00

Neutral

Away Starter

Hunter Brown
Team:Houston Astros (HOU)
Pitcher:Hunter Brown(RHP)
Record:5-3
ERA:3.31

Home Starter

Cristopher Sanchez
Team:Philadelphia Phillies (PHI)
Pitcher:Cristopher Sanchez(RHP)
Record:16-5
ERA:2.58

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

PHI ML has a 7.1% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 6.0% edge.

Top prop: Yordan Alvarez UNDER 1.5 batter hits (67% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Hunter Brown (3.31 ERA) vs Cristopher Sanchez (2.58 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 43

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Yordan AlvarezUNDER hits1.5-25067%53.7
Trea TurnerOVER hits0.5-23367%53.5
Luis ArraezUNDER hits1.5-22767%53.4
Jeremy PenaUNDER hits1.5-27869%50.5
Jeremy PenaOVER hits0.5-23367%49.3
Alec BohmOVER hits0.5-20865%48.5
Bryce HarperOVER hits0.5-21765%48.5
Yainer DiazOVER hits0.5-20864%48.2
Jose AltuveOVER hits0.5-20864%48.1
Yainer DiazUNDER total bases1.5-19662%47.2
Kyle SchwarberOVER hits0.5-18962%46.9
Jose AltuveUNDER total bases1.5-18962%46.8
Bryson StottOVER hits0.5-17961%46.7
Isaac ParedesOVER hits0.5-17561%46.6
Alec BohmUNDER total bases1.5-18561%46.5

Pitching Props 7

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Andrew PainterOVER strikeouts4.5-10553%47.3
Hayden WesneskiOVER strikeouts3.5-14156%44.1
Hayden WesneskiUNDER outs15.5-11852%41.8
Andrew PainterOVER outs15.5-11450%41.1
Hayden WesneskiOVER outs15.5+10549%40.4
Andrew PainterUNDER walks1.5-14756%39.8
Andrew PainterUNDER strikeouts4.5+10647%39.7

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

HOU
PHI
40.1%59.9%

Hunter Brown (HOU)

2026 season
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall3.311.309.64.8.21387.0
Home3.711.4110.25.6.22053.1
Away2.671.148.93.5.20333.2
Last 7 Days3.001.3310.53.0.2616.0
Last 30 Days2.861.429.64.5.24828.1
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.210.330.364.69417657
vs RHB.217.308.304.61213836
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.240.324.411.73512939
2nd Time.212.343.246.58811831
3rd Time.164.273.358.6316723

Cristopher Sanchez (PHI)

2026 season
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall2.581.2010.32.1.250181.1
Home1.831.1110.22.4.222108.0
Away3.681.3310.51.6.28873.1
Last 7 Days4.501.337.54.5.2176.0
Last 30 Days2.271.129.52.0.23931.2
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.150.165.180.34416763
vs RHB.281.335.404.740534144
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.246.285.319.60424879
2nd Time.245.300.394.69424171
3rd Time.253.299.338.63719853

Last 5 Games

PHI: L L W L W
HOU: W W W L L

Season Series

Season (3 games)
Series starts 9/8

Weather

85°F
Condition: 3

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

BookAwayHomeTime
BetRivers+118-13912:30 PM
BetUS+124-13712:30 PM
Bovada+119-14312:30 PM
Caesars+125-13512:30 PM
DraftKings+120-14512:30 PM

Totals

BookTotalOverUnderTime
BetRivers8.5-108-11212:30 PM
BetUS8.5-105-11512:30 PM
Bovada8.5+100-12012:30 PM
Caesars8.5-105-11512:30 PM
DraftKings8.5-103-11812:30 PM