Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT

MLB

Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians

DET @ CLE

Scheduled

Moneyline

DET

42%

58%

CLE

+130-154

ML Edge

DET+3.2%

CLE-3.2%

Total (O/U)

7.0

Fanatics

Over+14.3%

Under-14.3%

Venue

Park Factor

1.00

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Detroit Tigers (DET)

Pitcher:Jackson Jobe(RHP)

Record:1-2

ERA:4.63

Home Starter

Team:Cleveland Guardians (CLE)

Pitcher:Gavin Williams(RHP)

Record:13-7

ERA:3.81

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

CLE ML has a 3.2% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 14.3% edge.

Top prop: Steven Kwan OVER 0.5 batter hits (66% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Jackson Jobe (4.63 ERA) vs Gavin Williams (3.81 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 43

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Steven Kwan	OVER hits	0.5	-233	66%	53.2
Chase DeLauter	OVER hits	0.5	-208	66%	52.8
Jose Ramirez	OVER hits	0.5	-250	68%	50.1
Jo Adell	OVER hits	0.5	-208	65%	48.4
Steven Kwan	UNDER total bases	1.5	-208	64%	48.0
Angel Martinez	OVER hits	0.5	-200	64%	47.9
Kevin McGonigle	OVER hits	0.5	-192	63%	47.6
Chase DeLauter	UNDER total bases	1.5	-192	62%	47.1
Kevin McGonigle	UNDER total bases	1.5	-185	62%	47.0
Dillon Dingler	OVER hits	0.5	-179	62%	46.9
Gleyber Torres	OVER hits	0.5	-169	61%	46.6
Gleyber Torres	OVER total bases	0.5	-175	61%	46.3
Jo Adell	OVER home runs	0.5	+650	16%	46.1
Riley Greene	OVER home runs	0.5	+700	16%	46.0
Angel Genao	OVER hits	0.5	-164	60%	46.0

Pitching Props 7

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Parker Messick	UNDER outs	18.5	-185	61%	46.6
Parker Messick	UNDER strikeouts	6.5	-141	56%	43.8
Parker Messick	OVER outs	17.5	-200	64%	43.8
Framber Valdez	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-125	54%	42.8
Framber Valdez	OVER outs	16.5	-125	53%	42.4
Framber Valdez	OVER walks	1.5	-164	58%	41.1
Parker Messick	OVER walks	1.5	-164	58%	41.1

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

DET

CLE

38.2%61.8%

Jackson Jobe (DET)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	4.63	1.47	7.4	3.9	.267	23.1
Home	7.88	2.13	9.0	4.5	.361	8.0
Away	2.93	1.13	6.6	3.6	.204	15.1
Last 7 Days	7.20	1.60	7.2	3.6	.286	5.0
Last 30 Days	4.63	1.47	7.4	3.9	.267	23.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.214	.318	.429	.747	56	11
vs RHB	.353	.421	.529	.950	34	8

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.184	.289	.237	.526	38	13
2nd Time	.333	.395	.513	.908	39	3
3rd Time	.308	.438	1.000	1.438	13	3

Gavin Williams (CLE)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.81	1.09	12.0	2.8	.213	163.0
Home	3.01	1.05	12.4	2.6	.205	89.2
Away	4.79	1.15	11.6	3.0	.223	73.1
Last 7 Days	0.00	0.43	16.7	1.3	.087	7.0
Last 30 Days	5.25	1.38	14.6	4.1	.237	24.0

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.188	.251	.346	.597	361	134
vs RHB	.251	.319	.456	.775	239	83

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.217	.295	.398	.693	226	87
2nd Time	.212	.283	.356	.639	222	87
3rd Time	.200	.236	.420	.656	150	43

Last 5 Games

CLE: W L L W W

DET: L L W L L

Season Series

This Series (4 games)

CLE leads series 2-0

Season (13 games)

CLE leads series 9-2

Weather

73°F

Condition: 2

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
Fanatics	+130	-154	12:28 PM
BetUS	+134	-149	12:28 PM
DraftKings	+134	-161	12:28 PM
BetMGM	+135	-161	12:28 PM
Caesars	+143	-154	12:28 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
Fanatics	7.0	+100	-120	12:28 PM
BetUS	7.0	-105	-115	12:28 PM
DraftKings	7.0	-102	-118	12:28 PM
BetMGM	7.5	-125	+105	12:28 PM
Caesars	7.0	-105	-115	12:28 PM