Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 6:10 PM EDT

MLB

Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians

DET @ CLE

Scheduled

Moneyline

DET

42%

58%

CLE

+130-154

ML Edge

DET+3.2%

CLE-3.2%

Total (O/U)

7.0

Fanatics

Over+14.3%

Under-14.3%

Venue

Park Factor

1.00

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Detroit Tigers (DET)

Pitcher:Framber Valdez(RHP)

Record:8-10

ERA:4.36

Home Starter

Team:Cleveland Guardians (CLE)

Pitcher:Parker Messick(RHP)

Record:11-8

ERA:2.46

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

CLE ML has a 3.2% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 14.3% edge.

Top prop: Steven Kwan OVER 0.5 batter hits (66% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Framber Valdez (4.36 ERA) vs Parker Messick (2.46 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 43

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Steven Kwan	OVER hits	0.5	-233	66%	53.2
Chase DeLauter	OVER hits	0.5	-208	66%	52.8
Jose Ramirez	OVER hits	0.5	-250	68%	50.1
Jo Adell	OVER hits	0.5	-208	65%	48.4
Steven Kwan	UNDER total bases	1.5	-208	64%	48.0
Angel Martinez	OVER hits	0.5	-200	64%	47.9
Kevin McGonigle	OVER hits	0.5	-192	63%	47.6
Chase DeLauter	UNDER total bases	1.5	-192	62%	47.1
Kevin McGonigle	UNDER total bases	1.5	-185	62%	47.0
Dillon Dingler	OVER hits	0.5	-179	62%	46.9
Gleyber Torres	OVER hits	0.5	-169	61%	46.6
Gleyber Torres	OVER total bases	0.5	-175	61%	46.3
Jo Adell	OVER home runs	0.5	+650	16%	46.1
Riley Greene	OVER home runs	0.5	+700	16%	46.0
Angel Genao	OVER hits	0.5	-164	60%	46.0

Pitching Props 7

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Parker Messick	UNDER outs	18.5	-185	61%	46.6
Parker Messick	UNDER strikeouts	6.5	-141	56%	43.8
Parker Messick	OVER outs	17.5	-200	64%	43.8
Framber Valdez	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-125	54%	42.8
Framber Valdez	OVER outs	16.5	-125	53%	42.4
Framber Valdez	OVER walks	1.5	-164	58%	41.1
Parker Messick	OVER walks	1.5	-164	58%	41.1

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

DET

CLE

35.5%64.5%

Framber Valdez (DET)

2026 season

vs CLE

ERA

6.75

10.2

W-L

0-2

WHIP

1.96

AVG

.268

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	4.36	1.40	7.0	3.4	.261	150.2
Home	4.33	1.36	6.2	3.2	.255	72.2
Away	4.38	1.45	7.6	3.6	.267	78.0
Last 7 Days	4.50	1.17	7.5	1.5	.261	6.0
Last 30 Days	4.15	1.46	5.4	4.2	.263	30.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.266	.331	.378	.709	143	40
vs RHB	.260	.340	.392	.732	446	76

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.296	.376	.435	.811	216	42
2nd Time	.243	.312	.290	.602	210	47
3rd Time	.231	.313	.449	.761	156	26

Parker Messick (CLE)

2026 season

vs DET

ERA

3.38

10.2

W-L

0-1

WHIP

1.18

AVG

.184

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	2.46	1.02	9.0	2.4	.206	161.0
Home	2.67	1.12	9.4	2.6	.226	81.0
Away	2.25	0.91	8.5	2.3	.186	80.0
Last 7 Days	1.50	1.17	7.5	3.0	.217	6.0
Last 30 Days	2.01	0.87	9.5	1.7	.184	31.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.242	.303	.366	.669	161	41
vs RHB	.193	.246	.325	.571	425	120

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.159	.211	.269	.479	227	62
2nd Time	.207	.281	.318	.599	217	58
3rd Time	.273	.306	.460	.767	139	41

Last 5 Games

CLE: W L L W W

DET: L L W L L

Season Series

This Series (4 games)

CLE leads series 2-0

Season (13 games)

CLE leads series 9-2

Weather

73°F

Condition: 1

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
Fanatics	+130	-154	12:28 PM
BetUS	+134	-149	12:28 PM
DraftKings	+134	-161	12:28 PM
BetMGM	+135	-161	12:28 PM
Caesars	+143	-154	12:28 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
Fanatics	7.0	+100	-120	12:28 PM
BetUS	7.0	-105	-115	12:28 PM
DraftKings	7.0	-102	-118	12:28 PM
BetMGM	7.5	-125	+105	12:28 PM
Caesars	7.0	-105	-115	12:28 PM