Thursday, April 16, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT

Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros

COL @ HOU

Scheduled

Moneyline

COL

37%

63%

HOU

+161-182

ML Edge

COL+8.7%

HOU-8.7%

Total (O/U)

8.5

BetUS

Over+6.3%

Under-6.3%

Venue

Park Factor

0.98

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Colorado Rockies (COL)

Pitcher:Tomoyuki Sugano(RHP)

Record:1-0

ERA:2.16

Home Starter

Team:Houston Astros (HOU)

Pitcher:Lance McCullers Jr.(RHP)

Record:1-0

ERA:5.87

💡 Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

💰

COL ML has a 8.7% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

📊

The Under has a 6.3% edge.

🎯

Top prop: Jose Altuve OVER 0.5 batter hits (71% win prob).

⚾

Pitching matchup: Tomoyuki Sugano (2.16 ERA) vs Lance McCullers Jr. (5.87 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

⚾ Batting Props (44)

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Jose Altuve	OVER hits	0.5	-270	71%	55.3
Yordan Alvarez	OVER hits	0.5	-244	68%	54.0
Yordan Alvarez	OVER total bases	0.5	-385	76%	53.9
Jose Altuve	OVER total bases	0.5	-294	71%	51.6
Carlos Correa	OVER total bases	0.5	-294	71%	51.6
Mickey Moniak	OVER total bases	0.5	-278	70%	51.1
Isaac Paredes	OVER total bases	0.5	-270	70%	50.9
Hunter Goodman	OVER total bases	0.5	-164	64%	50.8
Yainer Diaz	OVER total bases	0.5	-263	69%	50.6
Christian Walker	OVER total bases	0.5	-263	69%	50.6
Carlos Correa	OVER hits	0.5	-250	68%	50.2
Jose Altuve	UNDER hits	1.5	-250	67%	49.6
Yordan Alvarez	UNDER hits	1.5	-233	66%	49.2
Yainer Diaz	OVER hits	0.5	-233	66%	48.9
Ezequiel Tovar	OVER total bases	0.5	-217	65%	48.7

🎯 Pitching Props (6)

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Jose Quintana	OVER strikeouts	1.5	-417	75%	53.6
Spencer Arrighetti	OVER strikeouts	4.5	-385	74%	53.2
Spencer Arrighetti	UNDER strikeouts	7.5	-286	69%	50.7
Jose Quintana	UNDER strikeouts	3.5	-227	65%	44.3
Jose Quintana	OVER strikeouts	2.5	-133	55%	43.3
Spencer Arrighetti	UNDER walks	2.5	-200	63%	43.3

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

COL

HOU

40.3%59.7%

Tomoyuki Sugano (COL)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	2.16	0.80	6.7	1.7	.167	16.2
Home	1.50	0.83	7.5	1.5	.182	6.0
Away	2.53	0.78	6.2	1.8	.158	10.2
Last 7 Days	3.00	0.67	4.5	0.0	.182	6.0
Last 30 Days	2.16	0.80	6.7	1.7	.167	16.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.138	.167	.276	.443	29	8
vs RHB	.194	.242	.548	.791	31	4

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.192	.222	.385	.607	26	4
2nd Time	.160	.222	.520	.742	25	5
3rd Time	.111	.111	.222	.333	9	3

Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	5.87	1.32	10.1	3.6	.255	15.1
Home	1.29	0.71	11.6	1.3	.174	7.0
Away	9.72	1.85	8.9	5.6	.313	8.1
Last 7 Days	12.46	1.71	8.8	4.4	.294	4.1
Last 30 Days	5.87	1.32	10.1	3.6	.255	15.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.250	.351	.438	.789	32	9
vs RHB	.261	.292	.348	.639	23	8

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.160	.250	.320	.570	25	9
2nd Time	.280	.333	.360	.693	25	8
3rd Time	.600	.667	1.000	1.667	5	0

Last 5 Games

HOU: L L L L W

COL: L L L L L

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

HOU leads series 1-0

Season (6 games)

COL leads series 3-1

Weather

80°F

Condition: 4

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
BetUS	+161	-182	6:32 PM
Bovada	+157	-192	6:32 PM
BetOnline.ag	+168	-185	6:32 PM
LowVig.ag	+168	-185	6:32 PM
BetMGM	+155	-189	6:32 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
BetUS	8.5	+105	-125	6:32 PM
Bovada	8.5	+100	-120	6:32 PM
BetOnline.ag	8.5	+105	-125	6:32 PM
LowVig.ag	8.5	+107	-123	6:32 PM
BetMGM	8.5	-102	-118	6:32 PM