Tuesday, April 28, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT

Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres

CHC @ SD

Scheduled

Moneyline

CHC

49%

51%

-103-114

ML Edge

CHC+0.3%

SD-0.3%

Total (O/U)

7.5

MyBookie.ag

Over+14.1%

Under-14.1%

Venue

Park Factor

0.95

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Chicago Cubs (CHC)

Pitcher:Edward Cabrera(RHP)

Record:2-0

ERA:2.73

Home Starter

Team:San Diego Padres (SD)

Pitcher:Walker Buehler(RHP)

Record:1-2

ERA:5.75

💡 Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

📊

The Under has a 14.1% edge.

🎯

Top prop: Nico Hoerner OVER 0.5 batter hits (72% win prob).

⚾

Pitching matchup: Edward Cabrera (2.73 ERA) vs Walker Buehler (5.75 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

⚾ Batting Props (47)

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Nico Hoerner	OVER hits	0.5	-250	72%	54.1
Ramon Laureano	OVER total bases	0.5	-263	69%	50.6
Nico Hoerner	OVER total bases	0.5	-263	69%	50.6
Fernando Tatis Jr.	OVER total bases	0.5	-189	65%	48.6
Jackson Merrill	OVER hits	0.5	-189	64%	48.1
Ramon Laureano	OVER hits	0.5	-213	64%	48.1
Miguel Andujar	OVER hits	0.5	-200	63%	47.7
Xander Bogaerts	OVER hits	0.5	-200	63%	47.7
Miguel Andujar	UNDER total bases	1.5	-200	63%	47.5
Fernando Tatis Jr.	OVER hits	0.5	-189	62%	47.2
Xander Bogaerts	UNDER total bases	1.5	-189	62%	47.2
Alex Bregman	OVER hits	0.5	-185	62%	47.2
Michael Busch	OVER hits	0.5	-189	62%	47.0
Nick Castellanos	OVER total bases	0.5	-192	61%	46.7
Seiya Suzuki	UNDER total bases	1.5	-179	61%	46.6

🎯 Pitching Props (3)

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Randy Vasquez	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-169	60%	45.8
Matthew Boyd	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-149	57%	44.6
Matthew Boyd	OVER outs	16.5	-132	54%	43.1

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

CHC

60.7%39.3%

Edward Cabrera (CHC)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	2.73	1.20	6.8	3.4	.229	29.2
Home	3.38	1.21	6.8	2.3	.258	24.0
Away	0.00	1.15	6.9	8.7	.063	5.2
Last 7 Days	3.86	0.86	6.4	0.0	.222	7.0
Last 30 Days	2.73	1.20	6.8	3.4	.229	29.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.259	.348	.397	.744	58	8
vs RHB	.191	.224	.255	.480	47	14

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.214	.267	.333	.600	42	11
2nd Time	.200	.267	.225	.492	40	8
3rd Time	.318	.407	.545	.953	22	3

Walker Buehler (SD)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	5.75	1.64	9.0	4.0	.293	20.1
Home	3.00	1.07	8.4	1.8	.236	15.0
Away	13.50	3.33	10.6	10.6	.407	5.1
Last 7 Days	13.50	5.00	8.2	12.3	.500	2.2
Last 30 Days	5.75	1.64	9.0	4.0	.293	20.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.340	.411	.420	.831	50	11
vs RHB	.219	.306	.375	.681	32	9

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.220	.289	.317	.606	41	14
2nd Time	.361	.439	.500	.939	36	5
3rd Time	.400	.500	.400	.900	5	1

Last 5 Games

SD: W L W W L

CHC: W W W L L

Season Series

Season (6 games)

Series starts 4/27

Weather

66°F

Condition: 3

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
MyBookie.ag	-103	-114	4:42 PM
BetMGM	-105	-115	4:42 PM
Bovada	-101	-119	4:42 PM
BetUS	-101	-109	4:42 PM
BetRivers	-114	-114	4:42 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
MyBookie.ag	7.5	-106	-115	4:42 PM
BetMGM	7.5	-105	-115	4:42 PM
Bovada	7.5	+100	-120	4:42 PM
BetUS	7.5	-105	-115	4:42 PM
BetRivers	7.5	-104	-120	4:42 PM