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Monday, April 27, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT

Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres

CHC @ SD

Scheduled

Moneyline

CHC
49%
51%
SD
-103-114

ML Edge

CHC+0.3%
SD-0.3%

Total (O/U)

7.5

MyBookie.ag

Over+14.1%
Under-14.1%

Venue

Park Factor

0.95

Neutral

Away Starter

Matthew Boyd
Team:Chicago Cubs (CHC)
Pitcher:Matthew Boyd(RHP)
Record:1-1
ERA:5.79

Home Starter

Randy Vasquez
Team:San Diego Padres (SD)
Pitcher:Randy Vasquez(RHP)
Record:2-0
ERA:1.88

💡 Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

📊

The Under has a 14.1% edge.

🎯

Top prop: Nico Hoerner OVER 0.5 batter hits (72% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Matthew Boyd (5.79 ERA) vs Randy Vasquez (1.88 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

⚾ Batting Props (47)

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Nico HoernerOVER hits0.5-25072%54.1
Ramon LaureanoOVER total bases0.5-26369%50.6
Nico HoernerOVER total bases0.5-26369%50.6
Fernando Tatis Jr.OVER total bases0.5-18965%48.6
Jackson MerrillOVER hits0.5-18964%48.1
Ramon LaureanoOVER hits0.5-21364%48.1
Miguel AndujarOVER hits0.5-20063%47.7
Xander BogaertsOVER hits0.5-20063%47.7
Miguel AndujarUNDER total bases1.5-20063%47.5
Fernando Tatis Jr.OVER hits0.5-18962%47.2
Xander BogaertsUNDER total bases1.5-18962%47.2
Alex BregmanOVER hits0.5-18562%47.2
Michael BuschOVER hits0.5-18962%47.0
Nick CastellanosOVER total bases0.5-19261%46.7
Seiya SuzukiUNDER total bases1.5-17961%46.6

🎯 Pitching Props (3)

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Randy VasquezUNDER strikeouts4.5-16960%45.8
Matthew BoydUNDER strikeouts5.5-14957%44.6
Matthew BoydOVER outs16.5-13254%43.1

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

CHC
SD
48.3%51.7%

Matthew Boyd (CHC)

2026 season
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall5.791.1414.11.9.24514.0
Home5.791.1414.11.9.24514.0
Last 7 Days3.861.1910.70.0.2634.2
Last 30 Days2.610.8913.41.8.18910.1
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.154.154.154.308135
vs RHB.275.326.400.7264017
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.185.185.333.5192712
2nd Time.292.346.333.6792410
3rd Time.500.667.5001.16720

Randy Vasquez (SD)

2026 season
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall1.881.109.62.6.22328.2
Home2.871.3813.04.1.23715.2
Away0.690.775.50.7.20513.0
Last 7 Days0.000.436.40.0.1307.0
Last 30 Days1.881.109.62.6.22328.2
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.230.294.311.6066120
vs RHB.214.283.357.6404210
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.225.289.375.6644013
2nd Time.262.311.333.6444211
3rd Time.143.250.238.488216

Last 5 Games

SD: W L W W L
CHC: W W W L L

Season Series

Season (6 games)

Weather

66°F
Condition: 2

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

BookAwayHomeTime
MyBookie.ag-103-1144:42 PM
BetMGM-105-1154:42 PM
Bovada-101-1194:42 PM
BetUS-101-1094:42 PM
BetRivers-114-1144:42 PM

Totals

BookTotalOverUnderTime
MyBookie.ag7.5-106-1154:42 PM
BetMGM7.5-105-1154:42 PM
Bovada7.5+100-1204:42 PM
BetUS7.5-105-1154:42 PM
BetRivers7.5-104-1204:42 PM