Wednesday, June 10, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT

MLB

Chicago Cubs @ Colorado Rockies

CHC @ COL

Scheduled

Moneyline

CHC

58%

42%

COL

-154+130

ML Edge

CHC-11.4%

COL+11.4%

Total (O/U)

12.5

Caesars

Over-25.0%

Under+25.0%

Venue

Park Factor

1.15

Hitter-friendly

Away Starter

Team:Chicago Cubs (CHC)

Pitcher:Shota Imanaga(RHP)

Record:4-6

ERA:4.74

Home Starter

Team:Colorado Rockies (COL)

Pitcher:Michael Lorenzen(RHP)

Record:2-8

ERA:8.01

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

CHC ML has a 11.4% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 25.0% edge.

Top prop: Willi Castro OVER 0.5 batter hits (69% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Shota Imanaga (4.74 ERA) vs Michael Lorenzen (8.01 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 44

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Willi Castro	OVER hits	0.5	-263	69%	54.3
Dansby Swanson	UNDER hits	1.5	-270	69%	50.3
Carson Kelly	UNDER hits	1.5	-256	68%	49.8
Ezequiel Tovar	UNDER hits	1.5	-244	67%	49.4
Moisés Ballesteros	UNDER hits	1.5	-244	66%	49.2
Carson Kelly	OVER hits	0.5	-233	66%	48.9
Nico Hoerner	OVER singles	0.5	-222	66%	48.9
Ian Happ	UNDER hits	1.5	-227	66%	48.9
Troy Johnston	UNDER hits	1.5	-227	66%	48.9
Michael Conforto	OVER hits	0.5	-227	65%	44.4
Hunter Goodman	UNDER hits	1.5	-217	65%	44.4
Willi Castro	UNDER total bases	1.5	-145	56%	44.2
Dansby Swanson	UNDER total bases	1.5	-139	56%	44.1
Nico Hoerner	OVER stolen bases	0.5	+500	20%	44.0
Tyler Freeman	OVER singles	0.5	-222	64%	44.0

Pitching Props 6

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Tomoyuki Sugano	OVER strikeouts	2.5	-154	58%	45.1
Tomoyuki Sugano	OVER outs	14.5	-159	58%	45.1
Colin Rea	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-132	55%	43.4
Colin Rea	UNDER outs	15.5	-133	55%	43.3
Colin Rea	UNDER strikeouts	3.5	+125	45%	41.8
Tomoyuki Sugano	UNDER strikeouts	3.5	-164	58%	41.1

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

CHC

COL

61.0%39.0%

Shota Imanaga (CHC)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	4.74	1.08	8.8	2.3	.221	76.0
Home	5.13	1.15	8.6	2.5	.227	47.1
Away	4.08	0.99	9.3	1.9	.212	28.2
Last 7 Days	9.00	1.17	7.5	1.5	.261	6.0
Last 30 Days	8.79	1.35	6.7	1.9	.286	28.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.217	.278	.458	.736	83	27
vs RHB	.223	.275	.455	.731	202	47

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.193	.239	.385	.625	109	31
2nd Time	.200	.248	.345	.593	110	33
3rd Time	.308	.384	.769	1.153	65	9

Michael Lorenzen (COL)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	8.01	2.01	7.2	3.3	.364	60.2
Home	9.67	2.37	6.0	4.3	.408	27.0
Away	6.68	1.72	8.1	2.4	.327	33.2
Last 7 Days	21.60	3.87	14.5	5.8	.500	3.1
Last 30 Days	9.97	2.22	9.3	4.2	.378	21.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.432	.486	.752	1.238	125	23
vs RHB	.306	.350	.408	.758	147	25

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.324	.380	.559	.939	111	23
2nd Time	.340	.405	.410	.815	100	16
3rd Time	.475	.492	.836	1.328	61	9

Last 5 Games

COL: L L L L W

CHC: W L W L L

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

COL leads series 1-0

Weather

90°F

Condition: 2

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
Caesars	-154	+130	2:53 PM
BetRivers	-152	+123	2:53 PM
BetMGM	-154	+125	2:53 PM
MyBookie.ag	-154	+130	2:53 PM
Bovada	-154	+130	2:53 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
Caesars	12.5	-115	-105	2:53 PM
BetRivers	12.5	-120	-105	2:53 PM
BetMGM	12.5	-118	-102	2:53 PM
MyBookie.ag	12.5	-114	-108	2:53 PM
Bovada	12.5	-115	-105	2:53 PM