Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT

MLB

Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks

CHC @ ARI

Scheduled

Moneyline

CHC

56%

44%

ARI

-141+120

ML Edge

CHC-6.7%

ARI+6.7%

Total (O/U)

9.0

MyBookie.ag

Over-1.6%

Under+1.6%

Venue

Park Factor

—

Pitcher-friendly

Away Starter

Team:Chicago Cubs (CHC)

Pitcher:Clay Holmes(RHP)

Record:5-6

ERA:2.49

Home Starter

Team:Arizona Diamondbacks (ARI)

Pitcher:Brandon Pfaadt(RHP)

Record:7-1

ERA:3.39

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

CHC ML has a 6.7% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

Top prop: Seiya Suzuki OVER 0.5 batter hits (67% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Clay Holmes (2.49 ERA) vs Brandon Pfaadt (3.39 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 45

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Seiya Suzuki	OVER hits	0.5	-233	67%	53.5
Michael Busch	OVER hits	0.5	-227	66%	53.2
Pete Crow-Armstrong	UNDER hits	1.5	-233	66%	53.1
Alex Bregman	OVER hits	0.5	-227	66%	53.0
Corbin Carroll	OVER hits	0.5	-208	65%	52.6
Nico Hoerner	UNDER hits	1.5	-256	68%	49.9
Gabriel Moreno	OVER hits	0.5	-233	67%	49.7
Jose Fernandez	UNDER total bases	1.5	-250	67%	49.6
Nico Hoerner	OVER hits	0.5	-250	67%	49.3
Ildemaro Vargas	UNDER total bases	1.5	-238	66%	49.1
Tim Tawa	UNDER total bases	1.5	-238	66%	49.1
Geraldo Perdomo	UNDER total bases	1.5	-238	66%	49.1
Nolan Arenado	UNDER total bases	1.5	-233	66%	48.9
Pedro Ramirez	OVER hits	0.5	-200	64%	48.1
Lars Nootbaar	OVER hits	0.5	-200	63%	47.7

Pitching Props 5

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Kevin Gausman	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-152	58%	45.0
Merrill Kelly	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-149	57%	44.6
Merrill Kelly	UNDER outs	16.5	-125	52%	41.9
Kevin Gausman	OVER outs	16.5	-118	52%	41.8
Merrill Kelly	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-164	58%	41.1

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

CHC

ARI

53.2%46.8%

Clay Holmes (CHC)

2026 season

vs ARI

ERA

3.18

5.2

W-L

0-1

WHIP

1.35

AVG

.227

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	2.49	1.11	6.6	3.0	.211	68.2
Home	2.08	1.08	6.3	2.6	.211	34.2
Away	2.91	1.15	6.9	3.4	.211	34.0
Last 7 Days	1.69	1.57	1.8	3.5	.286	5.1
Last 30 Days	2.81	1.13	2.8	2.8	.228	16.0

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.221	.280	.338	.617	154	27
vs RHB	.196	.278	.237	.515	97	23

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.186	.255	.268	.523	97	20
2nd Time	.258	.324	.320	.644	97	21
3rd Time	.175	.242	.316	.558	57	9

Brandon Pfaadt (ARI)

2026 season

vs CHC

ERA

7.71

2.1

W-L

0-0

WHIP

3.33

AVG

.400

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.39	1.14	6.3	2.2	.237	98.1
Home	3.56	1.10	4.5	2.6	.224	48.0
Away	3.22	1.18	8.1	1.8	.247	50.1
Last 7 Days	7.94	1.35	13.8	0.0	.292	5.2
Last 30 Days	1.35	0.79	6.5	1.1	.185	33.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.260	.299	.442	.741	208	37
vs RHB	.207	.274	.287	.560	164	32

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.218	.268	.374	.642	174	39
2nd Time	.224	.287	.352	.639	125	18
3rd Time	.310	.347	.423	.769	71	11

Last 5 Games

ARI: W W L W L

CHC: L L L W W

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

CHC lead series 1-0

Season (6 games)

CHC lead series 4-0

Weather

112°F

Condition: 2

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
MyBookie.ag	-141	+120	12:18 PM
BetUS	-137	+124	12:18 PM
BetRivers	-141	+120	12:18 PM
Fanatics	-145	+120	12:18 PM
Bovada	-139	+116	12:18 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
MyBookie.ag	9.0	-108	-114	12:18 PM
BetUS	9.0	-110	-110	12:18 PM
BetRivers	9.0	-118	+100	12:18 PM
Fanatics	9.0	-105	-115	12:18 PM
Bovada	9.0	-105	-115	12:18 PM