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Monday, August 24, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT
MLB

Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks

CHC @ ARI

CHC2
ARI0
LiveTop 6 • 2 out

Moneyline

CHC
56%
44%
ARI
-141+120

ML Edge

CHC-6.7%
ARI+6.7%

Total (O/U)

9.0

MyBookie.ag

Over-1.6%
Under+1.6%

Venue

Park Factor

Pitcher-friendly

Away Starter

Kevin Gausman
Team:Chicago Cubs (CHC)
Pitcher:Kevin Gausman(RHP)
Record:6-11
ERA:4.58

Home Starter

Merrill Kelly
Team:Arizona Diamondbacks (ARI)
Pitcher:Merrill Kelly(RHP)
Record:8-11
ERA:5.37

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

CHC ML has a 6.7% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

Top prop: Seiya Suzuki OVER 0.5 batter hits (67% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Kevin Gausman (4.58 ERA) vs Merrill Kelly (5.37 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 45

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Seiya SuzukiOVER hits0.5-23367%53.5
Michael BuschOVER hits0.5-22766%53.2
Pete Crow-ArmstrongUNDER hits1.5-23366%53.1
Alex BregmanOVER hits0.5-22766%53.0
Corbin CarrollOVER hits0.5-20865%52.6
Nico HoernerUNDER hits1.5-25668%49.9
Gabriel MorenoOVER hits0.5-23367%49.7
Jose FernandezUNDER total bases1.5-25067%49.6
Nico HoernerOVER hits0.5-25067%49.3
Ildemaro VargasUNDER total bases1.5-23866%49.1
Tim TawaUNDER total bases1.5-23866%49.1
Geraldo PerdomoUNDER total bases1.5-23866%49.1
Nolan ArenadoUNDER total bases1.5-23366%48.9
Pedro RamirezOVER hits0.5-20064%48.1
Lars NootbaarOVER hits0.5-20063%47.7

Pitching Props 5

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Kevin GausmanUNDER strikeouts5.5-15258%45.0
Merrill KellyOVER strikeouts3.5-14957%44.6
Merrill KellyUNDER outs16.5-12552%41.9
Kevin GausmanOVER outs16.5-11852%41.8
Merrill KellyUNDER strikeouts4.5-16458%41.1

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

Kevin Gausman (CHC)

2026 season
vs ARI
ERA
3.00
IP
6.0
W-L
1-0
K
4
WHIP
1.33
AVG
.292
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall4.581.309.02.5.262143.1
Home3.821.279.31.9.26977.2
Away5.481.358.73.3.25365.2
Last 7 Days6.232.2011.04.4.3684.1
Last 30 Days4.881.408.62.0.29427.2
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.256.312.405.71731675
vs RHB.269.307.426.73324268
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.229.279.336.61521457
2nd Time.282.328.455.78321356
3rd Time.285.336.477.81313030

Merrill Kelly (ARI)

2026 season
vs CHC
ERA
12.46
IP
4.1
W-L
0-1
K
5
WHIP
2.68
AVG
.381
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall5.371.525.94.0.280129.0
Home6.241.606.93.7.29353.1
Away4.761.485.14.2.27075.2
Last 7 Days13.502.754.59.0.4124.0
Last 30 Days6.391.716.85.7.28425.1
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.283.371.532.90329743
vs RHB.275.329.440.76920041
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.314.365.527.89218831
2nd Time.260.366.457.82317331
3rd Time.258.324.500.82413221

Last 5 Games

Not available yet

Season Series

Season (6 games)
CHC lead series 3-0

Weather

101°F
Condition: Partly cloudy

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

BookAwayHomeTime
MyBookie.ag-141+12012:18 PM
BetUS-137+12412:18 PM
BetRivers-141+12012:18 PM
Fanatics-145+12012:18 PM
Bovada-139+11612:18 PM

Totals

BookTotalOverUnderTime
MyBookie.ag9.0-108-11412:18 PM
BetUS9.0-110-11012:18 PM
BetRivers9.0-118+10012:18 PM
Fanatics9.0-105-11512:18 PM
Bovada9.0-105-11512:18 PM