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Wednesday, June 10, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT
MLB

Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays

BOS @ TB

Scheduled

Moneyline

BOS
52%
48%
TB
-120+100

ML Edge

BOS-6.2%
TB+6.2%

Total (O/U)

7.5

Caesars

Over+21.2%
Under-21.2%

Venue

Park Factor

0.96

Neutral

Away Starter

Jake Bennett
Team:Boston Red Sox (BOS)
Pitcher:Jake Bennett(RHP)
Record:1-1
ERA:4.35

Home Starter

Drew Rasmussen
Team:Tampa Bay Rays (TB)
Pitcher:Drew Rasmussen(RHP)
Record:5-2
ERA:3.00

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

BOS ML has a 6.2% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 21.2% edge.

Top prop: Ceddanne Rafaela OVER 0.5 batter hits (67% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Jake Bennett (4.35 ERA) vs Drew Rasmussen (3.00 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 41

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Ceddanne RafaelaOVER hits0.5-23367%53.3
Jarren DuranOVER hits0.5-20865%52.5
Chandler SimpsonOVER hits0.5-22267%49.6
Yandy DiazUNDER hits1.5-24467%49.6
Willson ContrerasOVER hits0.5-20865%48.3
Junior CamineroOVER hits0.5-20064%48.0
Wilyer AbreuOVER hits0.5-19664%48.0
Masataka YoshidaOVER hits0.5-20464%48.0
Ben WilliamsonOVER hits0.5-14959%45.5
Caleb DurbinOVER hits0.5-14959%45.5
Ceddanne RafaelaUNDER total bases1.5-16459%45.5
Mickey GasperOVER hits0.5-15459%45.4
Wilyer AbreuUNDER total bases1.5-16459%45.4
Jonathan ArandaOVER hits0.5-15459%45.3
Willson ContrerasUNDER total bases1.5-15958%45.2

Pitching Props 9

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Nick MartinezOVER strikeouts3.5-12053%42.5
Payton TolleUNDER outs17.5-12853%42.4
Payton TolleUNDER strikeouts5.5-11452%41.9
Nick MartinezOVER outs16.5-11251%41.7
Nick MartinezUNDER outs16.5+10649%40.4
Payton TolleOVER strikeouts5.5+10048%40.1
Payton TolleOVER outs17.5+10247%39.7
Nick MartinezUNDER strikeouts3.5+10447%39.5
Payton TolleOVER outs16.5-13553%38.4

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

BOS
TB
37.6%62.4%

Jake Bennett (BOS)

2026 season
vs TB
ERA
6.75
IP
5.1
W-L
0-1
K
1
WHIP
1.57
AVG
.316
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall4.351.493.63.6.29710.1
Home4.351.493.63.6.29710.1
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.200.200.200.400102
vs RHB.333.406.444.851272
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.357.500.357.857142
2nd Time.235.222.412.634171
3rd Time.333.333.333.66761

Drew Rasmussen (TB)

2026 season
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall3.000.928.71.6.20166.0
Home3.621.118.02.0.23327.1
Away2.560.819.41.4.17738.2
Last 7 Days0.000.1411.60.0.0457.0
Last 30 Days3.070.938.41.9.20229.1
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.245.286.391.67615141
vs RHB.129.165.204.3699323
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.214.250.350.60010325
2nd Time.182.219.323.5429928
3rd Time.214.267.238.5054211

Last 5 Games

TB: W L L W W
BOS: L W L L L

Season Series

This Series (3 games)
TB leads series 2-0
Season (13 games)
TB leads series 4-1

Weather

88°F
Condition: 3

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

BookAwayHomeTime
Caesars-120+1002:53 PM
BetRivers-115-1082:53 PM
BetMGM-120+1002:53 PM
BetUS-114+1042:53 PM
MyBookie.ag-115-1022:53 PM

Totals

BookTotalOverUnderTime
Caesars7.5-120+1002:53 PM
BetRivers7.5-118-1062:53 PM
BetMGM7.5-120+1002:53 PM
BetUS7.5-120+1002:53 PM
MyBookie.ag7.5-120-1012:53 PM