Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT

MLB

Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins

BOS @ MIA

Scheduled

Moneyline

BOS

55%

45%

MIA

-133+114

ML Edge

BOS-5.8%

MIA+5.8%

Total (O/U)

7.5

MyBookie.ag

Over+9.2%

Under-9.2%

Venue

Park Factor

0.92

Pitcher-friendly

Away Starter

Team:Boston Red Sox (BOS)

Pitcher:Payton Tolle(RHP)

Record:8-6

ERA:3.08

Home Starter

Team:Miami Marlins (MIA)

Pitcher:Tyler Phillips(RHP)

Record:3-6

ERA:3.67

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

BOS ML has a 5.8% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Over has a 9.2% edge.

Top prop: Nick Sogard OVER 0.5 batter hits (68% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Payton Tolle (3.08 ERA) vs Tyler Phillips (3.67 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 44

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Nick Sogard	OVER hits	0.5	-233	68%	53.8
Wilyer Abreu	OVER hits	0.5	-208	65%	52.5
Otto Lopez	UNDER hits	1.5	-278	69%	50.5
Ceddanne Rafaela	OVER hits	0.5	-250	68%	50.1
Otto Lopez	OVER hits	0.5	-250	68%	49.9
Ceddanne Rafaela	UNDER hits	1.5	-233	66%	49.0
Javier Sanoja	OVER hits	0.5	-213	65%	48.4
Willson Contreras	OVER hits	0.5	-208	64%	48.1
Xavier Edwards	OVER hits	0.5	-196	64%	47.8
Adley Rutschman	OVER hits	0.5	-189	63%	47.4
Xavier Edwards	OVER total bases	0.5	-192	63%	47.3
Javier Sanoja	UNDER total bases	1.5	-189	62%	47.0
Adley Rutschman	UNDER total bases	1.5	-189	62%	46.8
Caleb Durbin	OVER hits	0.5	-189	61%	46.7
Caleb Durbin	OVER total bases	0.5	-185	61%	46.5

Pitching Props 6

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Ranger Suarez	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-159	58%	45.0
Ranger Suarez	OVER outs	17.5	-147	57%	44.3
Sandy Alcantara	UNDER outs	18.5	-130	56%	44.0
Sandy Alcantara	OVER strikeouts	4.5	-115	51%	41.5
Ranger Suarez	OVER strikeouts	4.5	-161	58%	40.8
Sandy Alcantara	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-103	49%	40.5

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

BOS

MIA

49.1%50.9%

Payton Tolle (BOS)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.08	1.08	10.1	2.5	.218	120.0
Home	3.64	1.18	12.6	2.6	.233	59.1
Away	2.52	1.00	7.6	2.4	.202	60.2
Last 7 Days	5.40	1.60	10.8	3.6	.300	5.0
Last 30 Days	2.37	1.03	11.4	2.1	.220	30.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.258	.300	.439	.739	132	26
vs RHB	.201	.266	.335	.602	313	108

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.222	.271	.403	.675	176	62
2nd Time	.224	.269	.391	.660	174	47
3rd Time	.204	.302	.258	.560	93	25

Tyler Phillips (MIA)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.67	1.38	7.1	3.8	.248	100.2
Home	2.14	1.25	8.4	3.8	.224	59.0
Away	5.83	1.55	5.2	3.7	.280	41.2
Last 7 Days	4.50	2.00	13.5	9.0	.250	2.0
Last 30 Days	4.22	1.33	9.0	2.6	.259	21.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.269	.351	.415	.767	212	43
vs RHB	.223	.295	.371	.667	175	36

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.236	.320	.356	.676	225	53
2nd Time	.254	.329	.460	.789	126	22
3rd Time	.306	.359	.417	.776	36	4

Last 5 Games

MIA: L W W W L

BOS: L W W W W

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

BOS leads series 1-0

Weather

88°F

Condition: 4

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
MyBookie.ag	-133	+114	12:18 PM
BetRivers	-135	+116	12:18 PM
Bovada	-133	+112	12:18 PM
BetUS	-128	+117	12:18 PM
Caesars	-130	+120	12:18 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
MyBookie.ag	7.5	-112	-109	12:18 PM
BetRivers	7.5	-110	-108	12:18 PM
Bovada	7.5	-115	-105	12:18 PM
BetUS	7.5	-110	-110	12:18 PM
Caesars	7.5	-115	-105	12:18 PM