Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT

MLB

Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

BOS @ BAL

Scheduled

Moneyline

BOS

57%

43%

BAL

-149+125

ML Edge

BOS-15.8%

BAL+15.8%

Total (O/U)

8.0

Fanatics

Over+0.8%

Under-0.8%

Venue

Park Factor

1.04

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Boston Red Sox (BOS)

Pitcher:Sonny Gray(RHP)

Record:16-4

ERA:2.82

Home Starter

Team:Baltimore Orioles (BAL)

Pitcher:Chris Bassitt(RHP)

Record:6-4

ERA:4.97

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

BOS ML has a 15.8% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

Top prop: Wilyer Abreu OVER 0.5 batter hits (65% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Sonny Gray (2.82 ERA) vs Chris Bassitt (4.97 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 43

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Wilyer Abreu	OVER hits	0.5	-222	65%	52.6
Roman Anthony	UNDER hits	1.5	-270	69%	50.3
Roman Anthony	OVER hits	0.5	-222	67%	49.7
Ceddanne Rafaela	OVER hits	0.5	-250	67%	49.5
Nick Sogard	UNDER total bases	1.5	-244	67%	49.3
Jackson Holliday	UNDER total bases	1.5	-227	65%	48.7
Coby Mayo	UNDER total bases	1.5	-227	65%	48.7
Pete Alonso	OVER hits	0.5	-182	63%	47.6
Mickey Gasper	OVER hits	0.5	-200	63%	47.5
Adley Rutschman	OVER hits	0.5	-185	63%	47.4
Caleb Durbin	OVER hits	0.5	-175	62%	47.1
Gunnar Henderson	OVER hits	0.5	-179	62%	47.1
Luis Robert Jr.	UNDER total bases	1.5	-189	62%	46.9
Mickey Gasper	UNDER total bases	1.5	-182	61%	46.7
Luis Robert Jr.	OVER hits	0.5	-175	61%	46.7

Pitching Props 7

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Chris Bassitt	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-149	57%	44.4
Chris Bassitt	OVER outs	14.5	-161	62%	43.7
Chris Bassitt	UNDER outs	15.5	-135	55%	43.4
Sonny Gray	OVER outs	16.5	-179	61%	42.6
Sonny Gray	OVER outs	17.5	-127	53%	42.5
Sonny Gray	OVER strikeouts	5.5	-118	52%	42.2
Chris Bassitt	OVER walks	1.5	-175	60%	41.8

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

BOS

BAL

55.9%44.1%

Sonny Gray (BOS)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	2.82	1.18	8.0	2.3	.244	143.2
Home	2.77	1.04	7.8	2.1	.220	68.1
Away	2.87	1.30	8.3	2.5	.265	75.1
Last 30 Days	3.00	1.29	8.3	1.9	.271	24.0

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.229	.288	.375	.663	349	90
vs RHB	.271	.314	.406	.720	192	38

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.239	.292	.383	.675	209	51
2nd Time	.281	.339	.442	.782	199	45
3rd Time	.197	.243	.315	.558	127	28

Chris Bassitt (BAL)

2026 season

vs BOS

ERA

9.00

3.0

W-L

0-1

WHIP

2.67

AVG

.429

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	4.97	1.59	6.3	3.3	.303	79.2
Home	3.35	1.37	7.3	2.2	.284	37.2
Away	6.43	1.79	5.4	4.3	.320	42.0
Last 7 Days	7.94	2.12	6.9	5.2	.333	5.2
Last 30 Days	4.24	1.47	7.0	2.7	.293	23.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.326	.396	.521	.917	190	31
vs RHB	.269	.338	.331	.669	130	24

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.344	.425	.528	.953	125	21
2nd Time	.294	.345	.429	.774	126	21
3rd Time	.246	.325	.319	.644	69	13

Last 5 Games

BAL: W L L L L

BOS: W L L W W

Season Series

This Series (4 games)

BOS leads series 2-0

Season (13 games)

BOS leads series 7-4

Weather

79°F

Condition: 4

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
Fanatics	-149	+125	12:29 PM
BetRivers	-141	+118	12:29 PM
BetUS	-141	+126	12:29 PM
BetMGM	-149	+125	12:29 PM
DraftKings	-149	+123	12:29 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
Fanatics	8.0	-110	-110	12:29 PM
BetRivers	8.0	-114	-125	12:29 PM
BetUS	8.0	-105	-115	12:29 PM
BetMGM	8.0	-105	-115	12:29 PM
DraftKings	8.0	-105	-114	12:29 PM