Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT

MLB

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets

BAL @ NYM

Scheduled

Moneyline

BAL

48%

52%

NYM

+100-120

ML Edge

BAL+5.4%

NYM-5.4%

Total (O/U)

7.5

BetRivers

Over+12.9%

Under-12.9%

Venue

Park Factor

1.00

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Baltimore Orioles (BAL)

Pitcher:Shane Baz(RHP)

Record:6-15

ERA:4.05

Home Starter

Team:New York Mets (NYM)

Pitcher:Sean Manaea(RHP)

Record:5-7

ERA:4.79

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

BAL ML has a 5.4% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 12.9% edge.

Top prop: Bo Bichette OVER 0.5 batter hits (68% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Shane Baz (4.05 ERA) vs Sean Manaea (4.79 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 41

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Bo Bichette	OVER hits	0.5	-233	68%	53.8
Francisco Lindor	OVER hits	0.5	-208	65%	48.4
Juan Soto	OVER hits	0.5	-185	63%	47.7
Pete Alonso	OVER hits	0.5	-196	63%	47.5
Carson Benge	UNDER total bases	1.5	-189	63%	47.4
Gunnar Henderson	OVER hits	0.5	-172	62%	47.1
Carson Benge	OVER hits	0.5	-182	62%	46.9
Gunnar Henderson	UNDER total bases	1.5	-175	60%	46.2
Jared Young	OVER total bases	0.5	-179	60%	46.2
Bo Bichette	UNDER total bases	1.5	-164	60%	45.9
A.J. Ewing	OVER hits	0.5	-167	60%	45.8
Jared Young	OVER hits	0.5	-147	59%	45.7
Dylan Beavers	OVER hits	0.5	-161	59%	45.7
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	OVER hits	0.5	-152	59%	45.6
A.J. Ewing	OVER total bases	0.5	-169	59%	45.5

Pitching Props 9

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Jonah Tong	OVER outs	14.5	-164	58%	45.2
Brandon Young	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-149	58%	44.8
Brandon Young	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-200	63%	43.3
Brandon Young	UNDER walks	2.5	-200	63%	43.3
Brandon Young	UNDER outs	15.5	-115	51%	41.5
Jonah Tong	OVER strikeouts	5.5	-114	50%	41.1
Jonah Tong	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-108	50%	40.9
Brandon Young	OVER outs	15.5	-110	49%	40.6
Brandon Young	UNDER strikeouts	3.5	+126	42%	37.2

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

BAL

NYM

47.4%52.6%

Shane Baz (BAL)

2026 season

vs NYM

ERA

6.00

12.0

W-L

0-2

WHIP

1.33

AVG

.209

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	4.05	1.33	8.0	3.1	.260	169.0
Home	3.92	1.38	8.2	3.0	.270	85.0
Away	4.18	1.29	7.8	3.2	.249	84.0
Last 7 Days	7.94	1.35	8.7	1.7	.261	5.2
Last 30 Days	4.25	1.20	8.6	3.4	.220	29.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.276	.345	.436	.781	381	94
vs RHB	.237	.286	.340	.625	262	56

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.253	.319	.399	.718	233	53
2nd Time	.255	.296	.377	.673	239	62
3rd Time	.280	.363	.433	.796	164	35

Sean Manaea (NYM)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	4.79	1.34	8.5	2.8	.267	133.1
Home	4.84	1.39	9.0	3.1	.270	61.1
Away	4.75	1.31	8.1	2.5	.264	72.0
Last 7 Days	7.20	1.00	7.2	0.0	.250	5.0
Last 30 Days	7.22	1.45	6.4	1.9	.302	28.2

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.248	.313	.398	.710	161	50
vs RHB	.275	.343	.508	.852	356	76

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.228	.308	.384	.691	232	76
2nd Time	.272	.332	.451	.783	195	37
3rd Time	.345	.398	.701	1.099	87	13

Last 5 Games

NYM: W W L W L

BAL: L W W L L

Season Series

Season (3 games)

Weather

68°F

Condition: 2

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
BetRivers	+100	-120	12:31 PM
Bovada	+103	-123	12:31 PM
BetUS	+109	-120	12:31 PM
Caesars	+105	-125	12:31 PM
DraftKings	+103	-123	12:31 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
BetRivers	7.5	-108	-114	12:31 PM
Bovada	8.0	-115	-105	12:31 PM
BetUS	8.0	-115	-105	12:31 PM
Caesars	8.0	-115	-105	12:31 PM
DraftKings	8.0	-114	-105	12:31 PM