Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT

MLB

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

ATL @ PHI

Scheduled

Moneyline

ATL

41%

59%

PHI

+135-164

ML Edge

ATL+14.5%

PHI-14.5%

Total (O/U)

8.5

Fanatics

Over+13.3%

Under-13.3%

Venue

Park Factor

1.00

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Atlanta Braves (ATL)

Pitcher:Tyler Mahle(RHP)

Record:5-10

ERA:4.25

Home Starter

Team:Philadelphia Phillies (PHI)

Pitcher:Aaron Nola(RHP)

Record:6-10

ERA:4.93

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

ATL ML has a 14.5% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 13.3% edge.

Top prop: Luis Arraez OVER 0.5 batter hits (69% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Tyler Mahle (4.25 ERA) vs Aaron Nola (4.93 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 45

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Luis Arraez	OVER hits	0.5	-256	69%	54.3
Trea Turner	UNDER hits	1.5	-263	68%	54.1
Alec Bohm	OVER hits	0.5	-238	67%	53.6
Luis Arraez	UNDER hits	1.5	-278	70%	50.8
Bryson Stott	UNDER total bases	1.5	-233	66%	48.9
J.T. Realmuto	UNDER total bases	1.5	-227	65%	48.7
Bryce Harper	OVER hits	0.5	-208	65%	48.3
Michael Harris II	OVER hits	0.5	-200	64%	48.0
Drake Baldwin	OVER hits	0.5	-196	64%	47.8
Matt Olson	OVER home runs	0.5	+410	23%	47.6
Luis Arraez	UNDER total bases	1.5	-189	63%	47.3
Kyle Schwarber	OVER hits	0.5	-189	62%	47.2
Mauricio Dubon	OVER hits	0.5	-185	62%	47.2
Michael Harris II	OVER home runs	0.5	+600	18%	46.8
Edmundo Sosa	OVER hits	0.5	-169	62%	46.8

Pitching Props 5

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Zack Wheeler	OVER outs	17.5	-169	60%	46.1
Martin Perez	OVER outs	14.5	-135	56%	44.1
Martin Perez	UNDER strikeouts	3.5	-125	53%	42.4
Zack Wheeler	OVER strikeouts	6.5	-120	52%	41.9
Zack Wheeler	UNDER strikeouts	6.5	-104	48%	40.1

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

ATL

PHI

53.5%46.5%

Tyler Mahle (ATL)

2026 season

vs PHI

ERA

4.22

10.2

W-L

0-1

WHIP

1.57

AVG

.237

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	4.25	1.29	8.7	3.0	.254	125.0
Home	2.40	1.06	8.3	3.0	.204	63.2
Away	6.16	1.54	9.3	3.1	.299	61.1
Last 7 Days	1.35	0.81	13.1	0.0	.208	6.2
Last 30 Days	1.48	0.96	9.6	1.5	.216	30.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.227	.279	.388	.668	260	75
vs RHB	.287	.362	.435	.797	209	46

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.254	.316	.418	.734	189	46
2nd Time	.233	.310	.372	.683	180	52
3rd Time	.296	.337	.469	.806	98	21

Aaron Nola (PHI)

2026 season

vs ATL

ERA

11.57

4.2

W-L

0-1

WHIP

2.38

AVG

.318

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	4.93	1.40	9.5	3.1	.269	148.0
Home	5.72	1.55	10.0	2.9	.297	67.2
Away	4.26	1.29	9.2	3.3	.243	80.1
Last 7 Days	1.80	1.40	7.2	3.6	.250	5.0
Last 30 Days	2.25	1.21	11.6	3.2	.226	28.0

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.260	.340	.474	.814	346	90
vs RHB	.282	.306	.509	.814	234	67

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.248	.295	.509	.803	234	66
2nd Time	.292	.341	.494	.835	233	58
3rd Time	.268	.364	.438	.801	112	32

Last 5 Games

PHI: W W W L L

ATL: W L L W W

Season Series

This Series (4 games)

ATL leads series 1-0

Season (13 games)

ATL leads series 6-1

Weather

77°F

Condition: 6

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
Fanatics	+135	-164	12:28 PM
BetRivers	+132	-159	12:28 PM
BetUS	+138	-154	12:28 PM
BetMGM	+135	-164	12:28 PM
DraftKings	+135	-164	12:28 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
Fanatics	8.5	-120	+100	12:28 PM
BetRivers	8.0	-114	-125	12:28 PM
BetUS	8.0	+100	-120	12:28 PM
BetMGM	8.0	-105	-115	12:28 PM
DraftKings	8.5	-118	-102	12:28 PM