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Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 6:05 PM EDT
MLB

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

ATL @ PHI

Scheduled

Moneyline

ATL
41%
59%
PHI
+135-164

ML Edge

ATL+14.5%
PHI-14.5%

Total (O/U)

8.5

Fanatics

Over+13.3%
Under-13.3%

Venue

Park Factor

1.00

Neutral

Away Starter

Martin Perez
Team:Atlanta Braves (ATL)
Pitcher:Martin Perez(RHP)
Record:8-8
ERA:3.05

Home Starter

Zack Wheeler
Team:Philadelphia Phillies (PHI)
Pitcher:Zack Wheeler(RHP)
Record:11-5
ERA:3.31

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

ATL ML has a 14.5% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Under has a 13.3% edge.

Top prop: Luis Arraez OVER 0.5 batter hits (69% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Martin Perez (3.05 ERA) vs Zack Wheeler (3.31 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 45

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Luis ArraezOVER hits0.5-25669%54.3
Trea TurnerUNDER hits1.5-26368%54.1
Alec BohmOVER hits0.5-23867%53.6
Luis ArraezUNDER hits1.5-27870%50.8
Bryson StottUNDER total bases1.5-23366%48.9
J.T. RealmutoUNDER total bases1.5-22765%48.7
Bryce HarperOVER hits0.5-20865%48.3
Michael Harris IIOVER hits0.5-20064%48.0
Drake BaldwinOVER hits0.5-19664%47.8
Matt OlsonOVER home runs0.5+41023%47.6
Luis ArraezUNDER total bases1.5-18963%47.3
Kyle SchwarberOVER hits0.5-18962%47.2
Mauricio DubonOVER hits0.5-18562%47.2
Michael Harris IIOVER home runs0.5+60018%46.8
Edmundo SosaOVER hits0.5-16962%46.8

Pitching Props 5

PlayerPropLineOddsWin %Quality
Zack WheelerOVER outs17.5-16960%46.1
Martin PerezOVER outs14.5-13556%44.1
Martin PerezUNDER strikeouts3.5-12553%42.4
Zack WheelerOVER strikeouts6.5-12052%41.9
Zack WheelerUNDER strikeouts6.5-10448%40.1

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

ATL
PHI
43.9%56.1%

Martin Perez (ATL)

2026 season
vs PHI
ERA
0.00
IP
6.0
W-L
1-0
K
4
WHIP
1.00
AVG
.182
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall3.051.216.83.7.220121.0
Home1.991.066.44.0.17968.0
Away4.421.427.33.4.26853.0
Last 7 Days1.591.3510.43.5.2385.2
Last 30 Days2.281.426.24.3.25023.2
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.241.294.398.69213332
vs RHB.212.304.342.64630759
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.200.291.359.65019546
2nd Time.231.295.376.67117333
3rd Time.250.341.319.6617212

Zack Wheeler (PHI)

2026 season
vs ATL
ERA
3.60
IP
5.0
W-L
0-0
K
6
WHIP
1.20
AVG
.188
SplitERAWHIPK/9BB/9AVGIP
Overall3.311.0910.72.8.212130.1
Home3.231.1111.23.6.19853.0
Away3.381.0810.32.3.22177.1
Last 7 Days1.501.179.04.5.1906.0
Last 30 Days6.751.8310.06.5.28025.1
Opponent Batting by Handedness
SplitAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
vs LHB.234.313.420.73227487
vs RHB.182.230.320.55120367
Times Through Order
TimeAVGOBPSLGOPSABK
1st Time.196.259.386.64518968
2nd Time.191.255.309.56417864
3rd Time.266.344.468.81210922

Last 5 Games

PHI: W W W L L
ATL: W L L W W

Season Series

This Series (4 games)
ATL leads series 1-0
Season (13 games)
ATL leads series 6-1

Weather

80°F
Condition: 2

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

BookAwayHomeTime
Fanatics+135-16412:28 PM
BetRivers+132-15912:28 PM
BetUS+138-15412:28 PM
BetMGM+135-16412:28 PM
DraftKings+135-16412:28 PM

Totals

BookTotalOverUnderTime
Fanatics8.5-120+10012:28 PM
BetRivers8.0-114-12512:28 PM
BetUS8.0+100-12012:28 PM
BetMGM8.0-105-11512:28 PM
DraftKings8.5-118-10212:28 PM