Wednesday, June 10, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT

MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins

ARI @ MIA

Scheduled

Moneyline

ARI

46%

54%

MIA

+110-130

ML Edge

ARI+10.7%

MIA-10.7%

Total (O/U)

7.5

Caesars

Over+5.9%

Under-5.9%

Venue

Park Factor

0.92

Pitcher-friendly

Away Starter

Team:Arizona Diamondbacks (ARI)

Pitcher:Ryne Nelson(RHP)

Record:2-4

ERA:4.60

Home Starter

Team:Miami Marlins (MIA)

Pitcher:Ryan Gusto(RHP)

Record:0-1

ERA:10.80

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

ARI ML has a 10.7% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.

The Over has a 5.9% edge.

Top prop: Xavier Edwards OVER 0.5 batter hits (68% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Ryne Nelson (4.60 ERA) vs Ryan Gusto (10.80 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 42

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Xavier Edwards	OVER hits	0.5	-238	68%	54.2
Gabriel Moreno	OVER hits	0.5	-208	65%	52.6
Liam Hicks	OVER hits	0.5	-222	65%	52.6
Otto Lopez	UNDER hits	1.5	-244	67%	49.3
Ketel Marte	OVER hits	0.5	-204	65%	48.5
Corbin Carroll	OVER hits	0.5	-200	65%	48.5
Kyle Stowers	OVER hits	0.5	-192	63%	47.7
Ryan Waldschmidt	OVER hits	0.5	-135	58%	47.2
Gabriel Moreno	UNDER total bases	1.5	-182	62%	46.8
Xavier Edwards	UNDER total bases	1.5	-182	61%	46.7
Liam Hicks	UNDER total bases	1.5	-182	61%	46.7
Kyle Stowers	UNDER total bases	1.5	-172	60%	46.2
Nolan Arenado	OVER hits	0.5	-175	60%	46.0
Ketel Marte	UNDER total bases	1.5	-161	59%	45.5
Geraldo Perdomo	OVER hits	0.5	-156	58%	45.2

Pitching Props 8

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Max Meyer	OVER outs	17.5	-161	58%	45.1
Zac Gallen	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-130	54%	43.1
Max Meyer	OVER strikeouts	5.5	-110	51%	41.4
Zac Gallen	UNDER outs	16.5	-118	51%	41.3
Zac Gallen	OVER outs	16.5	-111	50%	40.9
Max Meyer	UNDER strikeouts	5.5	-102	49%	40.6
Zac Gallen	OVER strikeouts	4.5	+110	46%	38.9
Zac Gallen	UNDER outs	17.5	-135	53%	38.4

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

ARI

MIA

53.4%46.6%

Ryne Nelson (ARI)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	4.60	1.18	6.9	2.6	.230	72.1
Home	5.35	1.39	5.7	3.3	.258	38.2
Away	3.74	0.96	8.4	1.9	.197	33.2
Last 7 Days	2.57	1.00	3.9	2.6	.208	7.0
Last 30 Days	3.41	1.09	5.3	1.8	.236	34.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.219	.274	.430	.705	151	25
vs RHB	.244	.302	.472	.775	127	30

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.268	.297	.571	.868	112	28
2nd Time	.186	.275	.371	.646	97	15
3rd Time	.242	.304	.387	.691	62	11

Ryan Gusto (MIA)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	10.80	1.80	9.0	1.8	.348	5.0
Home	9.00	1.33	6.0	3.0	.250	3.0
Away	13.50	2.50	13.5	0.0	.455	2.0
Last 7 Days	13.50	2.25	9.0	2.3	.400	4.0
Last 30 Days	13.50	2.25	9.0	2.3	.400	4.0

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.333	.385	.500	.885	12	2
vs RHB	.364	.364	.455	.818	11	3

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.350	.381	.500	.881	20	5
2nd Time	.333	.333	.333	.667	3	0
3rd Time	.000	.000	.000	.000	0	0

Last 5 Games

MIA: W L W W W

ARI: W L L W L

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

MIA leads series 1-0

Weather

83°F

Condition: 7

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
Caesars	+110	-130	2:53 PM
BetRivers	+110	-135	2:53 PM
BetMGM	+110	-135	2:53 PM
MyBookie.ag	+111	-132	2:53 PM
DraftKings	+108	-132	2:53 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
Caesars	7.5	-105	-115	2:53 PM
BetRivers	7.5	-108	-115	2:53 PM
BetMGM	7.5	-102	-118	2:53 PM
MyBookie.ag	8.0	-115	-106	2:53 PM
DraftKings	7.5	-103	-118	2:53 PM