Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT

MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros

ARI @ HOU

Scheduled

Moneyline

ARI

50%

HOU

-110-110

ML Edge

ARI+1.1%

HOU-1.1%

Total (O/U)

8.5

Fanatics

Over-4.8%

Under+4.8%

Venue

Park Factor

0.98

Neutral

Away Starter

Team:Arizona Diamondbacks (ARI)

Pitcher:Brandon Pfaadt(RHP)

Record:7-2

ERA:3.49

Home Starter

Team:Houston Astros (HOU)

Pitcher:Ethan Pecko(RHP)

Record:1-0

ERA:6.23

Betting Insights

Key takeaways for this matchup

The Over has a 4.8% edge.

Top prop: Jeremy Pena OVER 0.5 batter hits (68% win prob).

Pitching matchup: Brandon Pfaadt (3.49 ERA) vs Ethan Pecko (6.23 ERA).

Player Props

50 props available for this game

Batting Props 42

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Jeremy Pena	OVER hits	0.5	-256	68%	54.2
Gabriel Moreno	OVER hits	0.5	-227	66%	52.9
Ketel Marte	OVER hits	0.5	-222	66%	52.8
Jose Altuve	OVER hits	0.5	-222	66%	52.8
Yordan Alvarez	OVER hits	0.5	-263	68%	50.1
Taylor Trammell	UNDER total bases	1.5	-244	67%	49.3
Cam Smith	UNDER total bases	1.5	-238	66%	49.1
Geraldo Perdomo	UNDER total bases	1.5	-227	65%	48.7
Christian Walker	UNDER total bases	1.5	-227	65%	48.7
Ketel Marte	OVER home runs	0.5	+475	21%	48.4
Corbin Carroll	OVER hits	0.5	-204	64%	48.0
Jose Altuve	UNDER total bases	1.5	-196	62%	47.2
Daulton Varsho	OVER hits	0.5	-189	62%	46.9
Geraldo Perdomo	OVER hits	0.5	-175	62%	46.9
Isaac Paredes	OVER hits	0.5	-179	61%	46.5

Pitching Props 8

Player	Prop	Line	Odds	Win %	Quality
Ethan Pecko	OVER outs	14.5	-159	58%	45.1
Brandon Pfaadt	OVER outs	17.5	-159	58%	45.1
Ethan Pecko	OVER strikeouts	3.5	-145	56%	44.0
Ethan Pecko	UNDER walks	2.5	-172	60%	41.8
Brandon Pfaadt	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-114	51%	41.6
Ethan Pecko	UNDER strikeouts	4.5	-161	58%	40.8
Brandon Pfaadt	OVER strikeouts	4.5	-103	49%	40.4
Brandon Pfaadt	UNDER walks	1.5	-128	53%	38.3

Pitcher Matchup Analysis

Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order

ESPN Win Probability

ARI

HOU

50.7%49.3%

Brandon Pfaadt (ARI)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	3.49	1.14	5.9	2.2	.236	111.0
Home	3.71	1.11	4.2	2.5	.225	60.2
Away	3.22	1.18	8.1	1.8	.247	50.1
Last 7 Days	3.00	1.00	1.5	1.5	.217	6.0
Last 30 Days	3.06	0.84	5.9	1.4	.190	32.1

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.265	.310	.458	.768	238	38
vs RHB	.198	.259	.275	.534	182	35

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.209	.260	.366	.626	191	41
2nd Time	.232	.292	.380	.672	142	19
3rd Time	.306	.344	.412	.756	85	12

Ethan Pecko (HOU)

2026 season

Split	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9	AVG	IP
Overall	6.23	1.54	6.2	6.2	.229	13.0
Home	4.91	1.88	11.3	8.4	.214	3.2
Away	6.75	1.54	4.9	5.9	.235	9.1
Last 7 Days	3.60	1.00	7.2	3.6	.176	5.0
Last 30 Days	6.23	1.54	6.2	6.2	.229	13.0

Opponent Batting by Handedness

Split	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
vs LHB	.241	.389	.655	1.044	29	3
vs RHB	.211	.318	.263	.581	19	6

Times Through Order

Time	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	AB	K
1st Time	.217	.333	.478	.812	23	6
2nd Time	.227	.370	.409	.779	22	3
3rd Time	.333	.500	1.333	1.833	3	0

Last 5 Games

HOU: W L W W W

ARI: L L L W L

Season Series

This Series (3 games)

HOU leads series 1-0

Weather

86°F

Condition: 16

Recent Odds

Latest betting lines from various books

Moneyline

Book	Away	Home	Time
Fanatics	-110	-110	12:29 PM
BetRivers	-103	-115	12:29 PM
BetUS	-103	-108	12:29 PM
BetMGM	-110	-110	12:29 PM
DraftKings	-108	-112	12:29 PM

Totals

Book	Total	Over	Under	Time
Fanatics	8.5	-110	-110	12:29 PM
BetRivers	8.5	-118	-103	12:29 PM
BetUS	8.5	-110	-110	12:29 PM
BetMGM	8.5	-110	-110	12:29 PM
DraftKings	8.5	-110	-110	12:29 PM