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Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT
Miami Marlins @ New York Yankees
MIA @ NYY
MIA
7
—
NYY
6
Final
Moneyline
MIANYY
28%
72%
+240-312
ML Edge
MIA+12.1%
NYY-12.1%
Total (O/U)
8.5
BetRivers
Over+3.7%
Under-3.7%
Venue
Park Factor
1.03
Neutral
Away Starter
Team:Miami Marlins (MIA)
Pitcher:Chris Paddack(RHP)
Record:0-1
ERA:8.31
Home Starter
Team:New York Yankees (NYY)
Pitcher:Max Fried(RHP)
Record:2-0
ERA:1.35
💡 Betting Insights
Key takeaways for this matchup
💰
MIA ML has a 12.1% edge — the market may be undervaluing them.
📊
The Under has a 3.7% edge.
🎯
Top prop: Aaron Judge OVER 0.5 batter hits (74% win prob).
⚾
Pitching matchup: Chris Paddack (8.31 ERA) vs Max Fried (1.35 ERA).
Player Props
50 props available for this game
⚾ Batting Props (46)
| Player | Prop | Line | Odds | Win % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | OVER hits | 0.5 | -278 | 74% | 57.5 |
| Aaron Judge | OVER total bases | 0.5 | -556 | 81% | 56.5 |
| Jose Caballero | OVER doubles | 0.5 | +650 | 16% | 53.9 |
| Aaron Judge | UNDER hits | 1.5 | -227 | 65% | 52.7 |
| Cody Bellinger | OVER stolen bases | 0.5 | +850 | 13% | 52.5 |
| Ben Rice | OVER total bases | 0.5 | -303 | 72% | 51.9 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | OVER total bases | 0.5 | -294 | 71% | 51.6 |
| Cody Bellinger | OVER total bases | 0.5 | -286 | 71% | 51.4 |
| Xavier Edwards | OVER doubles | 0.5 | +650 | 15% | 50.7 |
| Cody Bellinger | OVER hits | 0.5 | -222 | 67% | 49.6 |
| Agustín Ramírez | UNDER total bases | 1.5 | -244 | 67% | 49.3 |
| Trent Grisham | OVER total bases | 0.5 | -164 | 64% | 49.0 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | OVER total bases | 0.5 | -222 | 66% | 48.9 |
| Ben Rice | OVER hits | 0.5 | -200 | 65% | 48.4 |
| Otto Lopez | OVER hits | 0.5 | -200 | 64% | 48.0 |
🎯 Pitching Props (4)
| Player | Prop | Line | Odds | Win % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fried | UNDER strikeouts | 7.5 | -476 | 77% | 54.6 |
| Max Fried | OVER strikeouts | 4.5 | -312 | 71% | 51.4 |
| Chris Paddack | OVER walks | 1.5 | -200 | 63% | 43.3 |
| Max Fried | UNDER strikeouts | 6.5 | -204 | 63% | 43.3 |
📊 Box Score
Final game statistics
Miami Marlins (MIA)
| Batter | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | SO | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin SlaterRF | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Owen CaissieRF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Agustín RamírezDH | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Jakob MarseeCF | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Otto LopezSS | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Heriberto HernándezLF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Griffin ConineLF | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Connor Norby1B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Graham Pauley1B | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Edwards2B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam HicksC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Javier Sanoja3B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Pitching
| Pitcher | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Fairbanks | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 27 |
| Calvin Faucher | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
| John King | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Anthony Bender | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Chris Paddack | 4.2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 88 |
| Andrew Nardi | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
New York Yankees (NYY)
| Batter | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | SO | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent GrishamCF | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Aaron JudgeRF | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Cody BellingerLF | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Rice1B | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Giancarlo StantonDH | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Austin WellsC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| José CaballeroSS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J.C. EscarraPH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ryan McMahon3B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Pitching
| Pitcher | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Yarbrough | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 |
| Fernando Cruz | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| Max Fried | 6.2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 103 |
| Jake Bird | 0.0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
Pitcher Matchup Analysis
Platoon splits, recent form, and times through the order
Chris Paddack (MIA)
2026 season| Split | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | AVG | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18.00 | 2.00 | 13.5 | 0.0 | .421 | 4.0 |
| Home | 18.00 | 2.00 | 13.5 | 0.0 | .421 | 4.0 |
| Last 7 Days | 18.00 | 2.00 | 13.5 | 0.0 | .421 | 4.0 |
| Last 30 Days | 18.00 | 2.00 | 13.5 | 0.0 | .421 | 4.0 |
Opponent Batting by Handedness
| Split | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | AB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | .375 | .375 | .375 | .750 | 8 | 2 |
| vs RHB | .455 | .500 | 1.091 | 1.591 | 11 | 4 |
Times Through Order
| Time | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | AB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Time | .111 | .111 | .222 | .333 | 9 | 4 |
| 2nd Time | .857 | .875 | 1.286 | 2.161 | 7 | 0 |
| 3rd Time | .333 | .333 | 1.333 | 1.667 | 3 | 2 |
Max Fried (NYY)
2026 season| Split | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | AVG | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1.35 | 0.75 | 6.3 | 2.3 | .147 | 20.0 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0.53 | 6.9 | 1.4 | .114 | 13.1 |
| Last 7 Days | 0.00 | 0.57 | 7.7 | 1.3 | .130 | 7.0 |
| Last 30 Days | 0.00 | 0.53 | 6.9 | 1.4 | .114 | 13.1 |
Opponent Batting by Handedness
| Split | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | AB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB | .188 | .235 | .188 | .423 | 16 | 2 |
| vs RHB | .071 | .161 | .071 | .233 | 28 | 8 |
Times Through Order
| Time | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | AB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Time | .067 | .222 | .067 | .289 | 15 | 7 |
| 2nd Time | .111 | .111 | .111 | .222 | 18 | 2 |
| 3rd Time | .182 | .250 | .182 | .432 | 11 | 1 |
Last 5 Games
Not available yet
Season Series
This Series (3 games)
NYY win series 2-1
Weather
Not available yet
Recent Odds
Latest betting lines from various books
Moneyline
| Book | Away | Home | Time |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +240 | -312 | 8:11 PM |
| BetUS | +234 | -278 | 8:11 PM |
| Bovada | +235 | -303 | 8:11 PM |
| BetMGM | +240 | -303 | 8:11 PM |
| Caesars | +240 | -303 | 8:11 PM |
Totals
| Book | Total | Over | Under | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 8.5 | -108 | -115 | 8:11 PM |
| BetUS | 8.5 | -105 | -115 | 8:11 PM |
| Bovada | 8.5 | +100 | -120 | 8:11 PM |
| BetMGM | 8.5 | -105 | -115 | 8:11 PM |
| Caesars | 8.5 | -105 | -115 | 8:11 PM |